January 13, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Combat Zone | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Maestro Dearte | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gosilently | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Indoctrination (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bellerin | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Taniko | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Frankincense | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Morning Call | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Drummer D the T | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | In Heat | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Radio Chatter | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Soul Sound | 1.40 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Topaz Time | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lil Bit Dangerous | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Del Mar Diva | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Nero | 2.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jimmy Chila | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Curly’s Rocket | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kris’ Wild Kat | 4.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Botero | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Your Grace | 50.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Core Beliefs | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dynamic Duo | 50.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Prince of Arabia | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | A Red Tie Day | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Twentytwentyvision | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Unapologetic | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cafe Flavor | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hayabusa One (FR) | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Play Hard to Get | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Royal Albert Hall (GB) | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gio’s Calling | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lindante | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | City Steel | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Shook | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | El Super | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dukes Up | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Freddies Dream | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Muchos Besos | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Elwood J | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Zuri Chop (FR) | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moonlight Drive (ITY) | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Clever Royal | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Rocket Fuel | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Secreto Primero | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Home Run Kitten | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Doc Curlin | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Reign On (GB) | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Conquest Daddyo | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Holy Whirl Wind | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Critical Way | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Calle Kingpin | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Fueled by Bourbon | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lambo Luxx | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Private Prospect | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bargaining | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pat the Bear | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Natural | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chromium | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ajac | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Long Game | 50.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Proud Zoning | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – La Canada S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Majestic Heat | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mopotism | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mended | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shenandoah Queen | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sandy’s Surprise | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Union Strike | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | La Force (GER) | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Resky Business | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Highly Acclaimed | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Coastline | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Johnny Reb | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | General Ike | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Theycallhimthekid | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bourque | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Red Carpet Cat | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Airlite | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Rough Passage | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Particleacelerator | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zapana’s Game | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zeppo | 50.00 | 9.8 | 19-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.