January 13, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | King of Candy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Lil Commissioner | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | More Than a Saint | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Art of the Dream | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 10 | Alternative Route | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Highway Song | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Come On Dover | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Time Flies By | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Readyforperfection | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vic the Boss | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Potomac | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Talking Zip | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Court’s Revenge | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bevolution | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bella Bella | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Rascofrade | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Altered Mind | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Magic Joan | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Decant | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Tizahandful | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Galileo Gal (IRE) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 5 | Trust in Diane | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 15 | 8 | Legallini | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Miss Vicki | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 16 | 9 | Rise Above It | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 7 | Ceremony | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 2 | American Cowgirl | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 6 | Little Mizzy | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Galilea | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Nutcracker Suite (IRE) | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Nola Win | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tapability | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fascilitator | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Late Nite Mischief | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | New Colossus | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Turnaround | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bemma’s Boy | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Major Perfection | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tringale | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Neverquitdreaming | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Taranto | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Messiah | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | It Is Time | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Discovered | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 7 | Good Offense | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 15 | 10 | Arkadag | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 13 | 9 | Dragon Drew | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Celerity | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Soul Beam | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Burnin Daylight | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Satellite | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Caymans Cobra | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Strong Current | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Nobrag Justfact | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Duncan F. Kenner S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Show Bound | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Yockey’s Warrior | 0.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Blue Wings | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chublicious | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Zulu | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Enchantera | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Marie G. Krantz Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Skyluck | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Angel | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Mom’s On Strike | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Giada Vegas | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Vagabond Princess | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Joyous Thunder | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Inveniam Viam | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sweetbaby | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Scatter Gun | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Princess Erindelle | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Shes a True Beauty | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Silverbulletday S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Noblame | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Remember Daisy | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Stellar Moon | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Saguaro Row | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Wonder Gadot | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | Heavenly Love | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blonde Bomber | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Missive | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Stronger Than Ever | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | America’s Tale | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Shes Our Fastest | 20.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Terra’s Angel | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Colonel E. R. Bradley H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Avanzare | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Tower of Texas | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Special Ops | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Galton | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Granny’s Kitten | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Saham | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Applicator | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Monster Bea | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Thatcher Street | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dimension (GB) | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Lecomte S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Ciaran | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Wonder Gadot | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Instilled Regard | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Principe Guilherme | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Prince Lucky | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Zeke | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kowboy Karma | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 12 | Ebben | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 15 | 13 | Trigger Warning | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Zing Zang | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lone Sailor | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Believe in Royalty | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Snapper Sinclair | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Analyze This Jet | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Night Strike | 30.00 | 10.9 | 21-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Louisiana S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Rated R Superstar | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Dazzling Gem | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Leofric | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Shut the Box | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Cooptado (ARG) | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | The Player | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | December Seven | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Scuba | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Cedartown | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Seattle Serenade | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Guest Suite | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hawaakom | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Enjoy the Journey | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Conquistador | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Triple Dog Dare | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 10 | San Elijo | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | M G Warrior | 8.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Mercertown | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Hours Truly | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Achiever | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wilderness Gate | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sensational Zip | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zero Gravity | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Briar Jumper | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pulledafastone | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 8 | Suzie’s Dream | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 6 | Fashion Bid | 1.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Tensas Thought | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Cassidy’s Reward | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Yalisha | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Fancy Pants Jen | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | New Orleans Spice | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 4 | Shy Ruston | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Princess Delores | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Enfestar | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Bayou Lady | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Jane Ran a Double | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | Sacred Sounds | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Andale Girl | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Lady Fitzgerald | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Amore’s Prayer | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Clevius | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Juanita’s Orthodox | 30.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Clara’s Reign | 50.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Force Awakens | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.