January 12, 2018 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Socially Driven |
1.80 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dixie Rose |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
She Be Fierce |
4.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Eye On Berlin |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Miss Krivoruchka |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
My Golden Rose |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Miss Mischievous |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Youarestillthewon |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Thanxforlastnite |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
6 |
Shecor |
2.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
5 |
Little Stormin |
6.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Ten Carat Diamond |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mila Jane |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
5A |
4 |
Crazy Elexis |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3A |
2 |
Milzy |
8.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
King of Night |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Pachi Cruze |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Lil Love Machine |
2.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Mr. October |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
3 |
Icelake |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
He’s a Pussy Cat |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
7 |
Far From Awesome |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
1 |
Crimson Secret |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Poco Del Sol |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Awesome Mary |
4.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Sugar Shack |
3.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Miminegash |
10.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Stormologist |
4.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
0 |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Country Linedancer |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Cool Cash |
4.50 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Two Carat |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
6 |
Bad Angle Burke |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Arrivederci |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
In Him With Him |
4.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
9 |
7 |
Runnin for Dace |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
D. K. Two Step |
6.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Wiggins |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lettersfromdublin |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Sky Chaparral |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Silver Trophy |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Dr Bolt |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Mavericks Gun |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Gold Man |
5.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
3 |
2 |
Spirit Grabber |
3.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
5 |
4 |
Mythos |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Fortuitous Path |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
2 |
1 |
Helloitsme |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
4 |
3 |
Pistol Posse |
20.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Scorpion Dancer |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Honor and Blessing |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
8 |
More Stones |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
8 |
6 |
Baltimore Street |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
7 |
Next Street |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
6 |
5 |
Intrepid Forest |
4.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Flint Hill |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
12 |
10 |
Fly and Flutter |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
11 |
9 |
Nairet |
15.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
3 |
Scarlett’s Ransom |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
13 |
11 |
Cotton Princess |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
5 |
4 |
Jax |
20.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
1 |
1 |
La Lluvia |
30.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4A |
4 |
Dr. Toole |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
8A |
8 |
Doctor Peter |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Glennrichment |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
5 |
Southside Warrior |
2.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
9 |
6 |
Dattt Melody |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
6 |
4 |
Stolen Love |
8.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
3 |
Sheikinator |
15.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sue Me |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Papa Zulu |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Rio Vista |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Pardontori’sfrench |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Momma Doolittle |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Reward the Gypsy |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
4 |
Derval |
2.00 |
2.4 |
4-1 |
10 |
6 |
Selling Stones |
8.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
5 |
Catch |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
1 |
Airlie’s Diamond |
3.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
3 |
Sunshineinmypocket |
20.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
2 |
Cheering for Al |
20.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.