January 12, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Grand Tuner | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Electric Kiss | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | D J Soul Sista | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mine Yours an Ours | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Jackie Ems Pal | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Diva’s Ransom | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Aunt Lois | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Oscarific | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Letthebigshot Roll | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Day Six | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Big Kick | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 3 | Farmerville | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pea Shooter Pro | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Triple Creek | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Conscious Decision | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | The Lumber Gal | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Honest Star | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Blue Beret | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Baydar | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Medlin | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Shaker Baker | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Chocolate Martini | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Swift Krystal | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | I Hope You Dance | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Su Su’s Kitten | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | I. Damiana | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Princess Lu Lu | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 4 | Cause to Wonder | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Very Elegant | 5.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Dancing Waves (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Toodaloo to You | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | My Sugar Cat | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Morning Mischief | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maddy’s Pro | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zenucci | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fire Blaster | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Case’s Ticket | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King Cake | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Set Hut | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rock Shandy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Silent Drifter | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Get a Valentine | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Vittorioso | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | Crawford | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Johnny Obvious | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Fee Do | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | I’m a Lawman | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Hotfoot | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | All Behroozed Up | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Stage Show | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Catching Diamonds | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dixie Princess | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Salt Bae | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hold Her Tight | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fashion’s Touch | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Avoree Noel | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Catkins | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Touch of Gray | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Garci | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Six Schillings | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Zinger | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Turbo Street (AUS) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Souperfast | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Resiliency | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 7 | Jess I Am | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Italian Charm | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Esposito | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Just Move On | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | He’ll Pay | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Malibu Max | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Patrick’s Day | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Don’t Split Tens | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Infinite Verses | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Moment of Grace | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Actif Storm | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Elle Les Yu | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Salute My Lady | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rose’s Asset | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bull Headed Woman | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Be Nice Rose | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.