January 11, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mundo Mutadda | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moon Gun | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kira’s King | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kapenta | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | L. A. Hoss | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Closing Way | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jake Jourdan | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Zarking | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 6 | Arkansas Martini | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Mocito Rojo | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Nubin Ridge | 2.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Etruscan | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Midnight Ruler | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | King’s Share | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Zackarooney | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Lady El Prado | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Dixie the Cat | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Southern Allure | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Deep End | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Realmente Calmada | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Deez Jitterbug | 12.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Rowdy N Pearls | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Zarb’s Winnie | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Carson’s Cowgirl | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Missbonquiqui | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Azuralee | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Movie Date | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dixie Jackpot | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Angel in My Eyes | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Septennial | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | My Ruston | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Classy and Rich | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Late Appointment | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pure Tsu Tsu | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Etoile d’Allie | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Wild Lil Rebel | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Unveil | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Run Trickey Run | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Niagara Storm | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Pressing Luck | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Yankee | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | R. V.’s Express | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vox Populi | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Reydell | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Theboyzspark | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Overknight | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Star Time | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aly’s Grasshopper | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sacred Saga | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rwanda | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Bubble Time | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Kiss My Bling | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Breezy Song | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | I B Sweet | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | C R Fast Nitelite | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Flashy Attitude | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Valid Influence | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | No Guts No Glory | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 8 | Proper Decorum | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Like a Cowboy | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Grand Fashioned | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Desert Harbor | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tee Brown | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gray Ransom | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Gentlemens Half | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Angie’s Bling | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sports Book | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Fiddlers Farewell | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Northwoods Cat | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | No Game for Sissys | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Back in Business | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gardner’s Song | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Classic Greeley | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rascal | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Skylas Gold | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Half Primed | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gabanator | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Jumping On Clouds | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Miss Guretta | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Liba | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Spirit of Acadiana | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Crickadee | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Arwen | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Striscetta | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Skipadee Due Da | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Lucame | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Strahan | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Joey B | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Love That Brown | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eagle Rising | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Starook | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Donttakeitpersonal | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Quick Escape | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Jus Rad | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lord Redding | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zartan | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mordecai Man | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.