January 7, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jungle Warfare | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Eskimo Roses | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pointed | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Impetu | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Scrambled | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Colosi | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Knight Disruptor | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Liberal Lunacy | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rockaway (IRE) | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ready Eddie | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Real Quick | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hardcore Troubador | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bolster | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Executive Cat | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Swiss Minister | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tony Blackjack | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Black Tie ‘n Tails | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Miracle March | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amodei | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Distinctive B | 1.80 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Marriedtothemusic | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Papa Turf | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | New Karma | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tough But Nice | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Boy Howdy | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magic Taste | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Do the Dance | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Betty Draper | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Sweet Charity (FR) | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moonless Sky | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cordiality | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Meadowsweet | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beautiful Becca | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blame It On Alphie | 6.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fizzy Friday (GB) | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Princess Princess | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Domestic Vintage | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Starlite Style | 20.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Arch of Troy | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Run Like Rhett | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Clickjab | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Orejas | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Moonlight Blue | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Roosevelt | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Southern Thunder | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Patrick | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Empire Ruler | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alpha Uno | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Proud of Our Kids | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Chin Tu | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Proud Zoning | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Airfoil | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lewys Vaporizer | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Old Man Lake | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Indavidualist | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Winning Causeway | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cherokee Dynasty | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Overcomer | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rim Ditch | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Private Prospect | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dutt Bart | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Girl Downstairs | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Peach Cove (NZ) | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Snow Cloud (IRE) | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Del Mar Ann | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | An Unusual Group | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Scattagirl | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mongolian Shopper | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Allsquare | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saida | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Demigoddess | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Carrie | 50.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Santa Ynez S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Artistic Diva | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Win the War | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Midnight Bisou | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | War Heroine | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Yesterday’s News | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Steph Being Steph | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Allianna | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Just a Smidge | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Streetwithnoname | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Kennedie Sky | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Sturdy One | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Miss Boom Boom | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Dissension | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Liar’s Smoker | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Not too Shiny | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Red Livy (IRE) | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rosie My Rosie | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Fruity (IRE) | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Gemini Journey | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Comealongwithme | 15.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lookinforadanger | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Joyable | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Summertimemischief | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.