January 6, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lady Soul | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | On My Toes | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Blasted Boss | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ring Me Up | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Savannah Belle | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shezaprado | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heartbreak Hill | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Pat’s Shoes | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blame Angel | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Witts Henny Penny | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tabaddol | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cadet Captain | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Timingiseverything | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Havinfunyet | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Yooou Den | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 9 | Wildwood Scat | 2.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | St. Louis City | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Saint Mamie | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Forgotten | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yankee Pride | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Onemorefastdance | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Candi’s Kitten | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Uneven Steven | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Idol McArtneyvalue | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Cadillac Carter | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Caleb Hawk | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tooth | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bet On Black | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | They Call Me Seb | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Canadian Maximus | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Some Say So | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Nadia Anne | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Gris Gris | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | Gagaoveryou | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Honey Bunny | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Elandess | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | World Peace | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Longwing Lily | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | No Cacha Na (CHI) | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Lu Sea | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Love On Tides | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Final Deed | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Good Enough Said | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Sopo | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | He’s All Mine | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Vicks First Pick | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Unk’s Red Man | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wolfel Bear | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Robert E. Lee | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Boyfriend Material | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Much Trouble | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Shared Value | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sky Promise | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ride a Comet | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | United Patriot | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Create Again | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dubby Dubbie | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | El Rubio | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Keppel Bay | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freedom Factor | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Divine Holiday | 1.60 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 3 | Big Ragu | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Shaniko’s Secret | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uncommon Cat | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Cool Ambition | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Elite Score | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Friend to Me | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Minister Henny | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Merry Mike | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Pan Zareta S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Miss Hollywood | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Aiken to Be | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Go Kart (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Our Lucky Break | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Nite Delite | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rapid Rhythm | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Gossip (IRE) | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Excessivespending | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Contributing | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Triple Chelsea | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Luvin Bullies | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | One Last Shot | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Elandess | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Nobody’s Fault | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Clairenation | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cypress Cat | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Whistling Wind | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Last Flash | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Classic Brahms | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Timeslikethese | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Countach | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Apollo’s Prince | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ride a Saint | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Kenzies Flair | 30.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gone Lucky | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.