January 4, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Flashy Trick | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Ima Bear Too | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sissy Lee | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Last Dessert | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Poker Fever Gal | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Better Data | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Demo Day | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cudda Binn a Tizzy | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lady Skip Away | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lil Money | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cheer Monkey | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Hospitality | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Stellar Magic | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Im a Royal Tamer | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Madam’s Dancing | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Nola’s Fireball | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Ruby Red Slippers | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Sandy’s Wager | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Call It Luck | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Hay Viene Navidad | 8.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Toni’s Vow | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Warsongchant | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Theboyzgalaxy | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Honest Scarlet | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Finest Kylie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Goodbee | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Favorite Spot | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | D’wild Baroness | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Sarah’s Prayer | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mary B Good | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Clever Miss | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Suckerforagrey | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Keelies Tea Party | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Steamy Cry | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Fast Time Streaker | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Lotto | 1.40 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Howe Amazing | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Devil’s Pay | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | My Friend Tag | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Run Like Elle | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Charming Afleet | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Lydgate | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lucky Cal | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King of Honour | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Andy’s Production | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Sin Llorar | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Lord Arthur | 1.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Aztec Delite | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ide Be a Miracle | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mack’s Champ | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Pioneer’s Era | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Andwe’llbeswinging | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Players Gonna Play | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Young Homie | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Gus International | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | McGinty | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Adieu Gerald | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Erik the Red | 1.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Louisiana Flyboy | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cactus Son | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ben’s Magic Stone | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Amerocko | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beau Gator | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sivershow | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Collin’s Mystery | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Crider Cash | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Confederate Yell | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Song N a Cat | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rhettever | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ten Silver Pins | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Whoajoey | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Adios Yankee | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | My New Guiter | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Red Kingdom Star | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Calmack | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Maline | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Salty Martini | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Mariah’s Galaxy | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Swifty Cat | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dale’s Lil Sis | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Toomuch | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Pretty Production | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Demeanor | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Wave Goodbye | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | D’wild Muffin | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sarah’s Holy Belle | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Mine Creek | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Mrs Rocco | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Dream Date | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Aim Spot | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Lonely Petunia | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Born to D’ Wild | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Costa Del Sol | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Katie’s Jewel | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Pro Tribute | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Theboyzspark | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Reydell | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Trail My Tail | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Debriyn | 2.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Soldiers Letter | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ella’s Actor | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spring Rodeo | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cash for Glory | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Old Pep N Step | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Backyard Hero | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fooling Jay | 30.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.