January 4, 2018 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Champagne Ruby | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Da Wildcat Girl | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Perina’s Pride | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Loyal Heart | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bamboo Stick | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Exchanging Secrets | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bogulator | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Total Control | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tanzania Road | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Summer Punch | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lemondrop Lollipop | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Aoife | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Marnesia Big Girl | 1.60 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Renegade | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Josephine’s Moment | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Causeway Cutie | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dean’s Ticket | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kissin Cassie | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Why Not Be Sexy | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Glotona Again | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mo Flash | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz a Ghostzapper | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Solitary Gem | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Timeless Beauty | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Burak | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady by Choice | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jump Ruler | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gia Michael | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Loose | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tiz Rae Anna | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spinyatta | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Iwishirish | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Leah’s Dream | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fair Regis | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arietta | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Dixie Twister | 5.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | New York Hero | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Morning Breez | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Looking Ready | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dig That Mine | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beyond Honor | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nine Route | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Man Mo | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Becker’s Galaxy | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Taoiseach | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Iron Power | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chilly Bon Bon | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Charming Indy | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Great Samurai | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Heart | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Conquest So True | 0.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Gobi | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Reckless Humor | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Christmas Sky | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Untaken | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hexameter | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Isotope | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Special Risk | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dune Buggy | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.