January 3, 2018 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Cool Production | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Stormin Thru Dixie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Holy Beau | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Jack Be Quick | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Freeontechnicality | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Highroller Man | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | The Ice Guy | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Yes Im Tricky | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Brother Who | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Toast to Michael | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | E Porto | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Crude Operator | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rwanda | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Toga’s Margrock | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shakeitifuluvme | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shezjuslikeannie | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Call the Ghost | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mt. Rain | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Watch My Steam | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Father of Storms | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Flying South | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Strollin Spree | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Combat Command | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Miracle Master | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | That’s D ‘cat | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Custom Bling | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | King Zippy | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | He’s an Honest Man | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stryker Man | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Cajun | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Louisiana Wildcat | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Im Moonstruck | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Coop N Nugget | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Kingston Terrace | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Angel in My Eyes | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Miss Ardyn | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Dixie Jackpot | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Lil Becky | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ellie Girl | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gumbo of Choices | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tizmyday | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Mimosas | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Camrynsbigtimebaby | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heaven’s Devil | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Italian Candy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Art Vandaley | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Humor’s Reward | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Private Reality | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fu Flew | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ty C | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Crushem Tank | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hard Earned | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Coast Guard Kid | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Chase for the Gold | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tammany Parkway | 1.80 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Myblendofwhisky | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | E Lee | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | A We Bit Flirty | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ching Ching | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Overruling | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tor Con Six | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Successful Story | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Halfflatt | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Gotta Go First | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Cap Rock Miner | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Collin’s Express | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Crenshaw | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I’m a C Looker | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rebel Gentleman | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Cotton Up | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pinch Assault | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ellerbe | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Wildcat Springs | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Inspeightofyou | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Daria’s Angel | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Oh Dear Lord | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Half Way Up | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bee Boppin Baby | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Curlin | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Alpha Sue | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just Kicking Back | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Back in Business | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Bristol Rover | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | C R Knight | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chief Envoy | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ole Doc | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rate Maker | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Real Gone Cat | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gasolina | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Side’s Song | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tough Thomas | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Missbonquiqui | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Cruzin Copper | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Sunni’s Jazz | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Velleity | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Color Me Ready | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shesanodoubtoprado | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tax Money | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ice Party | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Flashy Date | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Archarityrobbyn | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Natona Lady | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Scarlett Surprise | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.