January 1, 2018 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Buck Duane |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Catability |
5.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Our Tiger’s Boy |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Black Site |
5.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dark Helmet |
4.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lipster |
10.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mac McLovin |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
5 |
5 |
Thunderwolf |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Ziconic |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hollywood Strike |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Momma’s Baby Boy |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Antioch |
4.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bold Papa |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Boogalute |
8.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Fi Fi’s Wild Heart |
8.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Khaleesi (BRZ) |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Resilient Humor |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
6 |
5 |
Party Hostess |
2.00 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
7 |
6 |
Li’l Grazen |
4.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Reckless Charm |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Little Nati |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Demigoddess |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Minister’s Glory |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Consensual |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Rustic Canyon |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Jersey’s Heat |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Raven Creek |
2.00 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Smart Knows Smart |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
Croissant |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
George From Tahoe |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Shaymin |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dreamer’s Reality |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Nevermissesabeat |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
8 |
8 |
Clem Dela Clem |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
I’m Amore |
30.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Unusual Champ |
30.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Jes Jaa |
2.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Rprettyboyfloyd |
3.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
He’saruler |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Karma King |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
8 |
8 |
Finallygotabentley |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Awesome Silver |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Freddies Dream |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Pulmarack |
12.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Downtownbigbrown |
20.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Soltero |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Shanghai Billy |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ax Man |
1.80 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
10 |
9 |
Elevated Knight |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Optic |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
11 |
10 |
Alternate Rhythm |
12.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
8 |
7 |
More Honor |
8.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lombo |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Normandy Beach |
10.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
9 |
8 |
The Italian |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Captain N. Barron |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Joe Hernandez S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Sycamore Lane |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Smokey Image |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Conquest Daddyo |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Richard’s Boy |
3.50 |
2.4 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Pee Wee Reese |
3.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Om |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tribalist |
4.50 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gold Rush Dancer |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mr. Roary |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Law Abidin Citizen |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Cimpl Man |
15.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
10 |
10 |
Next Shares |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
9 |
9 |
Krsto Skye |
20.00 |
7.8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
For Him |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
9 |
Treasure Hunter |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Royal Trump |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Utah Ute |
6.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Royal Bar |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
8 |
8 |
Get Em Up Scout |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Luke’s On Fire |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
11 |
11 |
Ima Take Charge |
8.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
3 |
3 |
Zippy Groom |
12.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
5 |
5 |
Big Hunk |
12.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
10 |
10 |
Time for Cioppino |
20.00 |
9.1 |
17-1 |
4 |
4 |
Cannonball Comin |
15.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
13 |
13 |
Hacktivism |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Bombilate |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Achira |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
12 |
Peach Cove (NZ) |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
How About Zero |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sasini (GB) |
6.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Causeforcommotion |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shazara |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
10 |
10 |
Be Mine |
4.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
The Tulip (IRE) |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Ms Wakaya |
8.00 |
6.1 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Zuzanna |
30.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Antonina (PER) |
12.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
5 |
5 |
Zero Zee |
15.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.