January 1, 2018 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Rigged | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jersey Town Cat | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Potomac Two Step | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Run Your Race | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Taichung Bobby | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mun Up | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No Limit | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | He’s Out of Queens | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Heavenly Kingdom | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rickey’s Girl | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Holiday Music | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Iquique (FR) | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Yours and Mine | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Kinda Devil | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Chicory | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chases Dixie Belle | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Efforting | 1.20 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Juno’s Starlet | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Princess Samurai | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Elektracutioner | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ours to Run | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Half a Go Go | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cumulative | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Findley Isle | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Man Jax | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zorzor | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Shirl’s Ready | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Apreciado | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Neon Gator | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Almoreb | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pain in the Arch | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Wild About You | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Woodmans Luck | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mineyerownmalone | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ironclad | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Philoctetes | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | No Funny Biz | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Whateverybodywants | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bitsy’s C C | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Wind Chill Factor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 6 | Sunny Oak | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fancy Madelyn | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Calamity Jane | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Diamond Cutter | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Wild About Star | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Persuade Me Lady | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Our Valor | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dixie Brees | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Fairwell Tax Break | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Million Dollar Day | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Play Unified | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Unreal Baby | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Can She Scoot | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Meadow Gem | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Mellwood Summer | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Grandma’s Princess | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Racey Reecey | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Archusexy | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | I. Damiana | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | Saguaro Row | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Go Google Yourself | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Taylor’s Princess | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Dynashe | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Rosie O’Prado | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Haynesfest | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pretty Lady | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Emmport | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Deadline | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Power Empire (JPN) | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Aubrey | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Colm’s Lady | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fight With Pride | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arabella Bella | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bowknot Billy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | French Command | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Afleet Spring | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Mas Mischief | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Higher Factor | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stolen Candy | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Heavenly Gem | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Bad and Tough | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Sandlot Sam | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.