December 31, 2017 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Grand Beauty | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | D’ Platinum | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | To Be Famous | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Shirocca (IRE) | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Lovemelikeyoudo | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sandstorm | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Tell Brandi | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lavoyageuse Time | 30.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Unfading Beauty | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wave Dancer | 8.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tootsie Pie | 30.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Dagal | 50.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Hellofaguy | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Start a War | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Top Mention | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1A | 7 | Oscarific | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 6 | Solanair | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Tiz Always His Way | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Going Country | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Louisiana Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Minit to Stardom | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Champagne Diva | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Feisty Embrace | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bionic Butterfly | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Iona Star | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cool Spring | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Girls Life | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Restless Rambler | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Belgian | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wabash Cannonball | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Banana Thief | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flash Attack | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sharm El Sheikh | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Solitary Jack | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fred’s Lucky Boy | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Notimeforthat | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Lick | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wholehearted | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | C Islandsurprise | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Economies of Scale | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Diamonds for Leah | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Logic of Absurdity | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Castiel’s Angel | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | La Flor | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Cajie’s Hope | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Windy City Girl | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Splashing | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jinx Johnson | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Macho Orb | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dot Notation | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mizz Toshiba | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bikini Hottie | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Highsnobity | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kat Can | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | One Chance Fancy | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 14 | 13 | Mollyball | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Red Tide | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Holiday Storm | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stumberg | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Louisiana Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Calimor | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Prayer Boy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | My First Guitar | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | Divine Bean | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Givemeaminit | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Gladyousawme | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Greeley Went West | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Da’ Big Newt | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Ready Prospector | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Monsieur Brown | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Pound for Pound | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Vapor Viper | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Aspening | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Nonikas Thunder | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lil Vie | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Querceta | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Smokin Hot Momma | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Strike My Fancy | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Will Ye Go Lassie | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hey Paige | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bernin Midnight | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Kalliste Rose | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Drift Away | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Warrior’s Way | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dance | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wildcat Beauty | 20.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Anything But Amie | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Memory Magic | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bulletsandbourbon | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Pay My Feed Bill | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | My Nilla | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Flash Copy | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Byanymeans | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Desert Empress | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Labruna | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.