December 31, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Power Boss | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Infield Is In | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Egyptian Pioneer | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tilt | 2.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Corinthian Spirit | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4A | 4 | Fixed Point | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6A | 6 | Happy Hat | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Viradia | 1.80 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cathy Naz | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Netti’s Legacy | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Embrace the Chaos | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Baby Boss | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Irish Glitter | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gentle Annie | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Frosty On the Case | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hug the Rail | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Sandy Belle | 0.80 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nothingbutasmile | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Puparee | 20.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classic Stones | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Terralsole | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bobby On Fleek | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Curtis | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Belt | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Professor Snape | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tribecca | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Macho Miah | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Missimpazi | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | My Luciana Rose | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Desert Jazz | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Status Asthmaticus | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Straw Hat | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pretty River | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiz Anna Rae | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Classy Cara | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Breeze | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Gorgeous Charli | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tommy T | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Polar Jet | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Forest Blue | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pop the Hood | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Old Dubai | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cinderela El Crome | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Crocheron Kid | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Alex M. Robb S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Control Group | 1.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wake Up in Malibu | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sea Raven | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Can You Diggit | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Papa Shot | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Extinct Charm | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Testosterstone | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Big Thicket | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | This Cat Can Fly | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Three Goals | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vicar’s Legend | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cantakeitanymore | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beach Access | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Debauchery | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Platinum Nugget | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | I’m Not Funny | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.