December 30, 2017 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Starlet Guitar | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Gia Victoria | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Esperanza Diamond | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fame Feather | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gettothepoint | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Deezee Dial | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Savvy Shipman | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flat Out Big Money | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Glispee | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lougarou | 1.60 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aint There No More | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lookingforroses | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Heza Bling Thing | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Atomic Element | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hermano T K | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magic Maniac | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | So You Know | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dandy Gal | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starlight Express | 3.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rise Above It | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Play the Break | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carolina Jasmine | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 16 | Tabaddol | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Witts Henny Penny | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Fox Rox | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Svindahl | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Minecraft | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Dave Hoeght | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Alvear | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Day Six | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Generous Kitten | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Whiskey Biz | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | West Village | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Farmerville | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 12 | Conscious Decision | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Always a Catch | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Knights Nation | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 1A | 13 | Montana Kid | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Line Judge | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Divine Desire | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rocky Tough | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stand and Cheer | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Liberty Lane | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Call the Colonel | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bobby the Brain | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Pago Hop S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 14 | I’m Betty G | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Righteous Ruth | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Magic Joan | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Mr. Al’s Gal | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Sky Flower | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bella Bella | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Farrell | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Oh So Terrible | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 8 | Sensitive | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Hallie Belle | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Fault | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Sully’s Dream | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Hotshot Anna | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Into Summer | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Rum Go | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Gentle Kitten | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Spikes Shirl | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Han Sense | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tapsolute | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grit | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gorse | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Volgograd | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Halifax | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chesapeake City | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Woodchopper S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Uncontested | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Cedartown | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Balandeen | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 9 | Caribou Club | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Mr. Misunderstood | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Big Bend | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Cowboy Culture | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | First Premio | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 14 | 11 | Kitten’s Cat | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | It’s Your Nickel | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 10 | Oxford Lane | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Don’task Don’ttell | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | St. Louie Guy | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Just Move On | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ide Biduadeau | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Lilbitofjam | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Conquest Tiz One | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Our Millie | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Fee Fi Fo Fo | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Hot Yankee | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jo Jo’s Wine | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Crimson Feline | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Summer | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Another Pinot | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Jacob of Tarville | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | True Power | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Summer O Fiftyfour | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Russell Cave | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Cascade Range | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Campioni | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diamond Delight | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Indian Bull | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Southern Reserve | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jackpot Johnny | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Spelletto | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hula Pie | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Watch My Smoke | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Quiet Seduction | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fiftyshadesofbay | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kayne’spotofgold | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Yonadixie | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cody Cody | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shedrow Cocktails | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Social Prize | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bold Legion | 30.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.