December 30, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Daddy’s Placer | 1.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | My Book | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Louisiana Moon | 2.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pursuit of a Dream | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Artillero | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | And Yet Another | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mister Bree | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Exigent | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Top Money | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | It’s a Sweet One | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Patriot Father | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I Want a Picture | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Herbie | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Smooth Colliery | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | A Place Remembered | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dark Genius | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Taken Back | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Binding | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wildcat Harrison | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Max Our Man | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Victory Bind | 3.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hezanothercorredor | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | County Coroner | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Windys Roadway | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brush Whacker | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Skipadee Due Da | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Spirit of Acadiana | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bevos Winch | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Guretta | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flashy Holiday | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pride and Gioia | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rulersshinyfuture | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Word of the Day | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Frisky Breeze | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Can’t Count That | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Play the Field | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Dancing Dove | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Electric Kiss | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Zarba’s Charm | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lefthoofrightleft | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Best Bling | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Coast of La | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Red Fern Doll | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Indygo Rocket | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cat Who Dat | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Eddie’s Deal | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 10 | Facets of Ice | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Double Down Britt | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ginger Tee | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fantasy Queen | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Classy and Rich | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Our Lil Secret | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Greeley’s Doll | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Ruston | 5.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wesley’s Dream | 30.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wild Lil Rebel | 30.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bird Orr Brady | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Loaded Dynamite | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bandit for Time | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red Wined Up | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blarney | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Expedition | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Strawn’s Cash | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Im a Cowboy Too | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vision to Win It | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tyler Bigo | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | I Rate First | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jobay | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Zendelphian | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stormation | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Top Cat Bullet | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yankee Gambler | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Osiotto | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Wicked Proud | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Queeten | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Rocketringo | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Plot Twist | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Silver Rocket Man | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Archer One | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 4 | Bellarmine | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Great Minds | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Posse Dreamin | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Just Kissing Buck | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 3 | Biblical Strength | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Arkansas Martini | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Dakota Candy | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Run Bayou | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Mickey | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Chat Rat | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Soulja Slim | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Drewsizzle | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Christopher Cat | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Gary | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Preston’s Galaxy | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Cascade Indian | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ten Silver Pins | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Zens Secret | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lanies Choice | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Swamp Ruler | 1.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ravengaff | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Revenueneutral | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lion Rampant | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kid Crimson | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Kowboy’s Secret | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | On Time | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tiger Bill | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.