December 29, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Banty’s Girl | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Short Kakes | 1.60 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Grandpa’s Arianna | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Daring Prospect | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hoponthebusgus | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Gypsy Jo | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Cake Is a Lie | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spiral Bound | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tough Old Bird | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Desert Affair | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Justenuff Hope | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Catania Rose | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Madeline’s Hope | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Wall of Compassion | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Patty Mac’s Girl | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wealth Effect | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Like Char | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Incleveland | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Alpha Team | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Champagne Papi | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Clonedsimmard | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cookie Crisp | 1.40 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | The Donald Problem | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fleet Admiral | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Away Love | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Lady Rullah | 1.40 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rahy’s Bandit | 15.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Woundwithhereyes | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carry Your Heels | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ola Gatita | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thirtydaysinjune | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mydadfloyd | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Truly a Moon Shot | 2.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Tale of Mist | 1.40 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mutaraamy | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | City Traveler | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bunyaan | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Proletariat | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Cavallotto | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 9 | Ethan Hunt | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Ransom Note | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | H Man | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Sicilia Mike | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Calculated Risker | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Full of Mine | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Summer Bourbon | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Call Me a Star | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Ross Boss | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Salty Slew | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Space Key | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Pence | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Port Arch | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grand Valour | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alexander David | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Big Auk | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Roman Warrior | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Classi Cat | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Latin Love Bug | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dublin Express | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.