December 28, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Ice Party | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Pure Lunacy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Spectacular Strike | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | East Lee | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Lady El Prado | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tania’s Song | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Yabbay | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Puckerupandkissme | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kaleigh’s Dream | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | K One Comet | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Priceless Wine | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lady Myla | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dr Liz | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mo’s Love | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mizz Tutu | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pragmatical | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Glitz N Glam | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Eight Grand | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wandernintheforest | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sophie’s Illusion | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 11 | Louisiana Voodoo | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Rowdy N Pearls | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Dixie the Cat | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Noisy | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Deep End | 4.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zarb’s Winnie | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | D’wild Irish Rose | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Deez Jitterbug | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Toga Dance | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Movie Date | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Tequila Rage | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Little Dixie K | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Wild for Cathrine | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Miss Emma Maria | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fasten | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Quick Rae Rae | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Maline | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Flying Magic Song | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Misty Sunrise | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tiz One Fee | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Camana Bay | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run Rhea Run | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Doubleshotofcrown | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Smartica Song | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | No Richie | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Worthy | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Black Justice | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Salute the Street | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Niagara Storm | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I Promised Youhuff | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Artemis Talent | 30.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Lucky Mon | 1.80 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arroyo Blanco | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Two Steppin’ Star | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mediamaker | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bakota | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Freak Nasty Flyer | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | D’money Honey | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lightning Lewis | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Kowboy’s Secret | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Gibby’s Spot | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | A Great Vice | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Flashy Attitude | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Taylor’s Beauty | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yes Babe | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bubbas Lucky Spell | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Silver | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz the Time | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lil Miss Grey | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Over There | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Swamp Production | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 11 | A We Bit Flirty | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Our Smitty | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Valen Forever | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | North Hullen | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tumult | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | D’urban Park | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lord Toccet | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | K One Kobra | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Shda Binn Discreet | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Kiss Him Twice | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Charlie Ballado | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Gray Ransom | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Bear’s Big Boy | 1.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Unitas | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rippin Ride | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Buxton Boy | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tonto M | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jake Jourdan | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Courtney’s Gift | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Cash for Glory | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mighty T | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Jacare | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Late Again | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bayou Banjo | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mauk Power | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Cayenne | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Felonious Friend | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Clip Joint | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Savannah Dandy | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zactly | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.