December 28, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Flick of an Eye | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Thirstforthecup | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spring for More | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hold Me Down | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baronet | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Split Time | 1.20 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starlite Mission | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Forever Dreams | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Breezy Gal | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Anne’s Song | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lady Rozina | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Breeze | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Finlee | 30.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Impazible Creek | 0.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Magari | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mazmania | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Goldtown | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiffany’s Vision | 30.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | You Promise | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | New York Event | 30.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Bobby On Fleek | 1.60 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Professor Snape | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Macho Miah | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Curtis | 1.80 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Belt | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Outrageous Bet | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Monteleone | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | All Clear | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Regalian | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Factor This | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Diamond Setter | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Glennwood | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Engineers Report | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Millionaire Runner | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Navy Commander | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tommy T | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Polar Jet | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pop the Hood | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Forest Blue | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gorgeous Charli | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Old Dubai | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Crocheron Kid | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cinderela El Crome | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – East View S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | English Soul | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Purely Lucky | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cause We Are Loyal | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Mystique | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cryinthemoonlight | 3.50 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rachel’s Blue Moon | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Southern Gal | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Salty Smile | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Miss Jen | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Big Thicket | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Three Goals | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | This Cat Can Fly | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cantakeitanymore | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Platinum Nugget | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beach Access | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Debauchery | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Vicar’s Legend | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I’m Not Funny | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.