December 23, 2017 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | McGinty | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Outback Jack | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Theoryintopractice | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just Due | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Half Cajun | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Uncommon Cat | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Recreational Use | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Roger Brown | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lion Heart Legend | 5.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Nothings Changed | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Uncle Nearis | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rifle Man | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nebulas | 4.50 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chesed | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nippy Red | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Guitar King | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My First Guitar | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lil Blinkey | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kick the Dust Up | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hes Got Game | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Monte Man | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Double Barrel Man | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Dapper Jack | 6.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Reckless Ransom | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sir Advent | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mitchnjohnny | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pink Twice | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Judge N Ruler | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Big E | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Daddy’s Placer | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Great Kat | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Desierto | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Wild Will | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | All Day Trip | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jericho | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tapizone | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | All About Voodoo | 4.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sunrise Hawk | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Heza Tinker | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Classy Deputy | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Princess Julia | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lilt | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Aikenetta | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Deauville Mist | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Moonlit Garden | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carolina Honey | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Strombolian | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 5 | Chicago Blues | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 11 | Gorse | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Dontblamerocket | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Thirsty Actor | 4.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Run Tappy | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dot Matrix | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Going Rate | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Collateral Kitten | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hollow Point | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Risky Town | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Miracle Mountain | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Wynn Time | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Faction Cat | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hold Me Black | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Win With Pride | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Zipp On By | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Because It’s Time | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spring Value | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Mom’s On Strike | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | On My Toes | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Five Hearts | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Frozen Hannah | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Brooks House | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Conquest Bandido | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Polar Vortex | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Run to the Beat | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Shes Trickey | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sonoma Crush | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 9 | Control Stake | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | Sea Vow | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Floroplus | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 2 | Behavioral Bias | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Blue Wings | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Mayor Mac | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Sharp Art | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Charming Deputy | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Jagged Warrior | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Little Lola | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Hicks Honey | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Ultra Arumba (BRZ) | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tornada | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Jerry N Bo | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sherry’s Salute | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Spanish Arch | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Miss Moronette | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mr. Green Girl | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.