December 23, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Cajun Creed | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Star Anne | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pound for Pound | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | General Tone | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Machinist | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Little Red Kid | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Roaring Star Fire | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Titanium Bill | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Slew of Pearls | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Gratzie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Giagiajoe | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Just Glossy | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Southern Wind | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Leave Em Counting | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fiji D | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dream Dream | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Final Argument | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Cajunman | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Kid Correa | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mister Ander | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Live Like Jerry | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Double Down Bob | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Band Boss | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bad Investment | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Tinc | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Honey Springs | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Late Appointment | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Angel in My Eyes | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Destiny’s Port | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gato Mojado | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Pure Tsu Tsu | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ringneckdove | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Abama Light | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unveil | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Harper Bee | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Plain Ole Heart | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Thisaintnoalleycat | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 6 | Fashion Show | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Saffron Spirit | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Early Flying Gold | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Becky’s Dude | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Too Many Affairs | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Sha Blush | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Catlab | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Bob’s Gone Wild | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Castlederg | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Slideruler | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | On Cycle | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Rose Needs a Check | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Runningunninrascal | 5.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Alabama Slim | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shinguard | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Stanton C | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Like a Deputy | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Orthodox River | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Go Gone Gone | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Saved by Zero | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arlen’s Prospect | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Q’ Mark | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Colt Silver Bullet | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Walking in Faith | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Smart Prospector | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Prince Isaac | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 10 | Red Production | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 7 | He’s All Ours | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Forerun | 1.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | It’s Time to B | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | River Bobcat | 5.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Say Charlie | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Valid Nick | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dixie Beat | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Why It’s True | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Improviser | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Mumbles | 20.00 | 7.1 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | My Gal Layla | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Sashimi Blaster | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Too Bad Chu | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kiss That Dude | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I’ll Take It All | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Galaxy Thirtysix | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Painting the Sky | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | D D’s Delight | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Anydayoftheweek | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Tania’s Song | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Tax Money | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 8 | Ginky Lou Winky | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Andale Girl | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Itsbouttime | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Aprojectformike | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Carellie’s Candy | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Misty Reality | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Lily Rhett | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Lionslittlebit | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.