December 22, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Doubleshotofcrown | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lariat’s Interest | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Poppa Stoppa | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Rhettever | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kev’s Inheritance | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Don’t Tell Sarah | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Run Trickey Run | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | D’digger | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Yankee | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Classic Emmett | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brylee’s Deelite | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tylers Bandit | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Actif One | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Vastjesus | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Masterly | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Quality Production | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jonas G. | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fancy This | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sailorman | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mallory’s Bandit | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sky Low | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Twilight Star | 2.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mila’s Gold | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Intensified | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Angel d’Oro | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stella’s Honor | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mary B Good | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Tricky Creed | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Suckerforagrey | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bella Cajun | 20.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | North Light Ridge | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Cactus Son | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Dynamic Decision | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Kira’s King | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mundo Mutadda | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Tuff Red Stick | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Beau Gator | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Passing Simon | 4.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Little Mario | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sinister Spinner | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zarking | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Fast Time Streaker | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Thrasher | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Drena’s Bullet | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Experiential | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Towering Oak | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Silent Wave | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Coach Avery | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Overnight Stay | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quiet Angliana | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Belmont Hills | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Commander McDivitt | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Delicious | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Vitt Bitt | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Greta | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | My Pal Viv | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kiss a Yankee | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Blushing Reality | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sweet N Special | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ms Advisor | 2.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Call It Luck | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flower Child | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Fantasy Frills | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stellar Magic | 30.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tizabitdistorted | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Mt. Rain | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Over There | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Palmettovowmenot | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Dramatic Act | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Toni’s Vow | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Pep N Flight | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Estrella | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Winnie the Roo | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tough Landing | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | My Gal Sarah | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mamadancesinthesky | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nola’s Fireball | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jack Snipe’s | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Bill’s Production | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 7 | C U Tiger | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Just Kissing Buck | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Greeley’s Wish | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Icy Gentleman | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | B B Special | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bending Saint | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chasin Gracie | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Win Lion Win | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Corluna | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Mrs Rocco | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Empressive Road | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tied Up | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Oxford Comma | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Chloe Raven | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She’screative | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aim Spot | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Bug Lite | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Rock Creek | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Bold Chrome | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Magnanimus Man | 1.80 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Conner Clark | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bread | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Flashy Image | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Personal Conflict | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Overlyappealing | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Calipso Baby | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Flat Out Love | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.