December 22, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Distorted Admiral | 1.40 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Love Your Buttons | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silberado | 1.60 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pawn It Back | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zeppelin Ride | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Donald Problem | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mighty Zealous | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pegasus Red | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cloud Control | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bluegrass Prevails | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bigshotinthenews | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Steve’s Image | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Dawn the Destroyer | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | A Place to Shine | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Friend of Liberty | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bombshell | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s So Fine | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Heavenly Score | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Majestic Kiss | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Lillard Hall | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Neon | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 4 | Problem Solving | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Lady by Choice | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Super Duper Girl | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 7 | Paranoia | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Shezerfirst | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Beyondelle | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Glow Goddess | 30.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Nonna’s Boy | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Point Hope | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Arbitrator | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bluegrass Singer | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Going Strong | 12.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lay It Down | 30.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Praetereo | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Paid Admission | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Shamrock Kid | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7A | 7 | Powerstroke | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gio d’Oro | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | National Honor | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Danny California | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Hokulea | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carmine’s Honor | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 1 | Smooth Move | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Sheik of Araby | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blessed Honour | 50.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Wondermeister | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Facade | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Daddy’s Home | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Gun for Hire | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Cotton Town | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | The Great Samurai | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Skeet Shot | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bunyaan | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Benny Big Boy | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Snowfly | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7B | 7 | Helooksthepart | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6A | 6 | Harlan Punch | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Full Salute | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 6 | Local Hero | 2.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 10A | 7 | Very Very Stella | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 12B | 9 | Pete’s Play Call | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Phi Beta Express | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 8 | Still Krz | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Skyler’s Scramjet | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Final Chapter | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Always a Suspect | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bolita Boyz | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Theresa’s Boy | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Odin’s Steed | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Forward Motion | 2.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Bad Guy | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Violent Delights | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lutheran Rags | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honor Mission | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Horn Ranger | 30.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Save the Sangria | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Now a Factor | 12.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.