December 21, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Disguise | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Right On | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tarawa | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dream Fever | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rapid Route | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blushing Justine | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Preservationist | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Switzerland | 1.80 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wonderful Light | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Via Castagna | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Freeload | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Seethisquick | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Literata | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Land Mine | 1.60 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | No Hayne No Gayne | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Peaches and Spice | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unrepented | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Bobby On Fleek | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blame Us All | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Katalox | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thirst for Victory | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Caniform | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sallisaw | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Italian Syndicate | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Say Cin Cin | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Corey Q | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | B Three | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Giant Ending | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Votre Coeur | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Stars Wilburn | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quanique | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Maddizaskar | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Arewehavingfunyet | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Marnesia Big Girl | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Doinwhatshelikes | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Madame Barbarian | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Milaya | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Bounty | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Navajo Kitten | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bree’s Got Heart | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Satin Sheets | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kitty Maddnes | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tiz a Kitten | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Puparee | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Over My Head | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | C K Dexter Haven | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Maimo | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sidewinder | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Big Thicket | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blinded Vision | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I’m an Ocala Dude | 5.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | All Golden | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Las Vegas | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Wegotoldyougotsold | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | A J’s Way | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reign Charger | 30.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.