December 20, 2017 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Off Cycle | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alivia’s Lion | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dreamofhonor | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jackie Ems Pal | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Suppose So | 1.80 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Catherine’s Dream | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | D J Soul Sista | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Frazier Double | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Quarter Carat | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Chuck’s Quest | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 3 | Gator Tough | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Sun and Sand | 2.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Last Flash | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Evan Lee G | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Love That Brown | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Gone Lucky | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Medlin | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coco Honey | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baydar | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shaker Baker | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rahway | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Glory Train | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baby Got Shack | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shackira Shackira | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | My Prophet | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Wabash Cannonball | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Social Misfit | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Krafty Boy | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Saved At Sea | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ole Skip Rope | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | McGehee’s Mercy | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Culp’s Hill | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Katalust | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Emily’s Entourage | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gris Gris | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nineteenth Street | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Carolina Jasmine | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ring Me Up | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Breaking Bread | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Altered Mind | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Nutcracker Suite (IRE) | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Magic Joan | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | C Islandsurprise | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | San Sebastiana (GB) | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Market Top | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 5 | American Cowgirl | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Decant | 8.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 13 | 7 | Legallini | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 6 | Soulshine | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Galilea | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 3 | Rascofrade | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Lola’s the One | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Lady Blessings | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Bellissima Indy | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Timuquana Place | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Muscadine Wine | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Taylor’s Wildcat | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Booneville Chapel | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Smartly | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lily Maria | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Riz | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pocket of Candy | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blue Beret | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Valina | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Starving Artist | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | La Flor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Daddy Issues | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Skipped | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Miss Devine | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Kabella | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Eye of the Kitten | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Cloak of Secrecy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 6 | Sweet Oats | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 3 | Restless Spirit | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 1 | Luna | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 4 | Henry’s Honey | 10.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 5 | One Chance Fancy | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 16 | 8 | Sweet Cause | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 7 | Caribbean Soul | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 2 | Salty Scatt | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Madalyna | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Be Nice Rose | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Elle Les Yu | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Custom for Corales | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Rose’s Asset | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Shy Ruston | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Moment of Grace | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Glitter O’Prado | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Brittany’s Bunny | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Vadoma | 6.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.