December 17, 2017 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Thursdays Angel |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Family Girl |
1.40 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
3 |
3 |
Miss Pretty |
2.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Sugaratsundown |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Tiger Mom |
2.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
7 |
6 |
Dream of Eagles |
20.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
6 |
5 |
Cuvee Cat |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Charlie Cowden |
3.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Fivetwentyninefund |
2.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Fire When Ready |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lipster |
5.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
High Rize |
8.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
2 |
2 |
Joeray |
8.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Mergie Troid |
20.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Gryffindor |
20.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Canadian Warrior |
30.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
7 |
7 |
Downhill Run |
30.00 |
7.9 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Hawk’s Eyes (BRZ) |
2.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
2 |
2 |
Fueled by Bourbon |
3.50 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Inexcess Again |
4.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Winning Causeway |
3.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Luckarack |
12.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
I B Mike |
8.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Shining Hope |
20.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
9 |
9 |
Ajac |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
3 |
3 |
Big Bad Batman |
20.00 |
6.9 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
12 |
12 |
Theverythotofyou |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
11 |
11 |
Valedictoriette |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
10 |
10 |
Ramona Lover |
2.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
9 |
9 |
Bona Fide Image |
2.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
7 |
Solar Corona |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dorita’s Candy |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Magicalchic |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Shining Armada |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
6 |
6 |
Molinita |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Our Bright Star |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Bullet Miss |
20.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
8 |
8 |
Annitasheaven |
20.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Stormin Monarcho |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
The Lieutenant |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Hot Sean |
2.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Senator Robert |
4.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
The Critical Way |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Rocko’s Wheel |
5.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Concur |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
All Out Blitz |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Montmartre |
3.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
Paint Me Lucky |
8.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Restoring Hope |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
9 |
9 |
Sunny Spot |
12.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dynamic Duo |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Chieftain’s Lad |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Your Grace |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Six Gun Smokin |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
American League |
3.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Gentrified |
3.50 |
3.4 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Flash Henry |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
Lindante |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Giant Mark |
8.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
1 |
1 |
Gotta Get Lucky |
5.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
Harrovian |
8.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Coalinga Hills |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dangerously Close |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Li’l Grazen |
2.50 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Yalisha |
4.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Royal Astronomer |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Chay Up and Away |
6.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Troublesome |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
6 |
Dixie Crystal |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
8 |
8 |
Lady’s War Dress |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Seeking the West |
2.50 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Tasunke Witco |
3.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
3 |
3 |
Sense of Glory |
4.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Mon Mousse |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
4 |
Private Prospect |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Midnight Harbor |
5.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Hot Perfection |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Pick One |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
9 |
9 |
Hailey’s Kid Comet |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
Is Trevor Clever |
3.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
5 |
5 |
Spend It |
4.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
10 |
9 |
Mr. Matlock |
3.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Vow’s Son |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Downside Up |
15.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Southern Thunder |
4.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Royal Seeker |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Haylord |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Sun Kingdom |
30.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.