December 17, 2017 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Private Party | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Big Ragu | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 10 | Cork Arm | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Divine Holiday | 3.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 1 | M J All Day | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Elite Score | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Friend to Me | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 8 | Kid Pichongo | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2B | 9 | Mr. Nine Five Four | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 2 | Merry Mike | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | I. Damiana | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Princess Lu Lu | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Shezaprado | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 5 | I Hope You Dance | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Dancing Waves (IRE) | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trust in Diane | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Catty Krys | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Golden Treasury | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Very Elegant | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Stack House | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | Dude Greeley | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | A Higher Wager | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jake the Band Man | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Doug’s Bug | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Papa Buck | 6.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Coast Guard Kid | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ride | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amber’s Friend | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kzixon Vengeance | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Messiah | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Highway Song | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Neverquitdreaming | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Super Factor | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | King of Candy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Sacred Walk | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 6 | Flatexcel | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | It Is Time | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 7 | Zanesville | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Taranto | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Come On Dover | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 14 | 8 | Zero Gravity | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | G’s Turn | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Julie’s Jackpot | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Saguaro Row | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | America’s Tale | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Sterling Miss | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Missive | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Rosie O’Prado | 4.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Spanky | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Boyhood Dream | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | War Tom | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Good Offense | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Uncail | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Vic the Boss | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Art of the Dream | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Time Flies By | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | Soul Beam | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 7 | Talking Zip | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ride a Comet | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Run Your Race | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Go for Moonshine | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Satellite | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | And Isles | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Actress On Board | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lesley May | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Memorial Drive | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lightning Twice | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Make It Run | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Mercken | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | N. D. Free | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Paternal Pride | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Camp Creek | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Aces High | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 7 | He’ll Pay | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Esposito | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Lu Rae’s Lucky Sky | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Forevamo | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 8 | Thirstforlife | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 16 | 10 | Lieutenant Seany O | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jess I Am | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 15 | 9 | Whateverybodywants | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rapid Red | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 6 | United Stand | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Patrick’s Day | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Dark Arden | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zinger | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Annie Had a Baby | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Vanishing Image | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Nola Fashion | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Dreamy Art | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Betty Booyah | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | New Orleans Spice | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Hot Yankee | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Naughty Little Nun | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Callmeonmycellfone | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Penny Coin Toss | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Fancy Pants Jen | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.