December 16, 2017 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
4 |
4 |
Little Lu |
2.50 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
You’re Dreamin |
5.00 |
SCRATCH |
6 |
4 |
Stella B. |
2.00 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
5 |
3 |
Miss Impazible |
6.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lovely Time |
4.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Stoneheart Lady |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Prestons Princess |
2.00 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
7 |
7 |
Abets Abet |
5.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Mettemarlamelva |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
5 |
5 |
Celesse |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Sea Pebble |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Kellyslittlesecret |
10.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Julie’s Indy |
15.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
Japonski |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Shipthegrip |
4.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
6 |
6 |
Smarty Mr D |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
7 |
7 |
The Pooch |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bubba’s Will |
3.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
9 |
8 |
P J’s Bad Boy |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Bitumen |
12.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
Kenyan |
10.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Lookin Up |
12.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
11 |
11 |
We B Jammin |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
8 |
D T Goodie |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Open Bar |
3.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
10 |
10 |
Baychimo |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
6 |
Bud Fox |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Maximian |
4.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Battery |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
We Can Dance |
20.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Aimed |
10.00 |
6.6 |
12-1 |
7 |
7 |
Trevino |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Lyrical Miracle |
12.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
7 |
Outvoted |
2.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
9 |
Final Blessing |
3.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
6 |
Joiner |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
4 |
Youshouldbedancing |
4.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
1A |
3 |
Every Step |
6.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
7 |
8 |
Huascaran |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
1 |
2 |
Ami’s Artie |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
2 |
1 |
Free for Nothing |
12.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
4 |
5 |
Irish Corny |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Jones Taxi |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Peanutbutter Fever |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
4 |
Fielder |
3.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
1 |
1 |
Colonel Juan |
2.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
7 |
5 |
Flashonforty |
10.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
3 |
2 |
Pinatubo |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
7 |
Tally Mo |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
6 |
All the Georges |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
4 |
3 |
Tecumsehs Dance |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Love Came to Town |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Liz’s Cable Girl |
2.00 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
Shacklefords Lady |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Alexandra Rossi |
2.50 |
4 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Daylight Ahead |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
She’s Hot Wired |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
She’s All Ready |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Hit It Once More |
1.60 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
8 |
8 |
Thomas Knight |
5.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
6 |
6 |
J. J.’s Candy |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ostentation |
3.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tactical Plan |
12.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
To the Victor |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
3 |
3 |
Saint Alfred |
12.00 |
6.1 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Big Lie |
20.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
10 |
10 |
Malibu Sunset |
1.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Two Step Temper |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
6 |
6 |
No More Strippers |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lon’s True Passion |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
7 |
7 |
Old Sport |
15.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Mystery Train (ARG) |
10.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Flatter Me Big |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
3 |
3 |
Smart and Tough |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
4 |
4 |
Siena Indian |
12.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
5 |
5 |
Star of Sarava |
20.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.