December 16, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Tiz Majesty | 1.80 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Wedgewood Blue | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Classy Scarlett | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Momma Doolittle | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Money Road | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Catch | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Capture the Sun | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | James River | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Malibu At Midnight | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Royal Hussar | 1.20 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | You Tell Me | 4.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Zap Cat | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Counseling | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Winning Thread | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magically Discreet | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Splendor Gal | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tapete Claire | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Debs the Boss | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Soft Landing | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Given Achance | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Weltha | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kitten’s Friend | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9A | 9 | Tam Tam Attack | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Gato Dolce | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Gin Fuzz | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 6A | 5 | Sir Douglas | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brighton Lane | 1.80 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Super Buddy | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Stephen’s Answer | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Summer Causeway | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Encrypt | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | The Great Provider | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Warleigh | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Willie B Mine | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Where’s Dominic | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prime Time Man | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Team Tim | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hail’s Statement | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Devine Entry | 1.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chinquapin | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seven Gems | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Take Warning | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Taco Supream | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fenton’s Four | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Metric System | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2A | 2 | Margarita Sunrise | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11A | 10 | Slick Man | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Sebray | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Pachi Cruze | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Piercinator | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Charlie’s Darlin | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Rarified Air | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | C B Bodemester | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Z J Wins | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | True Arch | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Nice Try | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sue Me | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Dr. Toole | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Monkey’s Medal | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kabang | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dattt Melody | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | River Deep | 4.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Papa Zulu | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jeezum Jim | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Perfect Me | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 8 | My Pal Jerry | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Imitation | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss My People | 4.00 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Brancato | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Seven Knots | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Valley Cal | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | English Tudor | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Art Bijou (ARG) | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cruzin With Pachi | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.