Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, December 16, 2017

December 16, 2017 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Here’s to Mike 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Ousby 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Zipi Zape 30.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Dream Shot 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Lighthouse Sound 3.50 2.9 5-1
6 5 Fan Base 12.00 4.9 9-1
7 6 Imperial Warrior 5.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Forall the Marbles 12.00 5.2 10-1
8 7 Make It Gold 12.00 5.2 10-1
12 10 Summer Scamp 10.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Megeve 8.00 5.7 11-1
5 4 The Son Wind 15.00 6.2 12-1
11 9 Vigas 15.00 6.8 13-1
13 11 Island Therapy 30.00 7.2 14-1
10 8 Unspoken Quality 30.00 9.2 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Tajeliha 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Golda 5.00 3.9 7-1
9 9 Prospective Moment 10.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Optimistic Shot 3.50 5.5 10-1
5 5 Dim Sum 4.50 5.9 11-1
10 10 Devuelta 12.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Laguna Dream 6.00 6.7 13-1
13 13 Rahy Momenta 20.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Bawarige 15.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Forty Knots 15.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Lil Bay Corvette 12.00 8.2 16-1
12 12 Christianity 15.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 She’s Wild Now 30.00 9.6 18-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
15 15 Brickyard Kitten 12.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Regal Kitten 8.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Starship Frontier 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Donation 20.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Little Baltar 4.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 Modern Tale 4.50 3.6 7-1
8 7 Lucky Kitten 6.00 4 7-1
1 1 Weeza Gone Gray 5.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Dominate 10.00 6 11-1
10 9 Starship Rocky 10.00 6.4 12-1
11 10 Orpheus (ARG) 8.00 6.8 13-1
9 8 Wild Mongolia 15.00 7.1 13-1
6 5 Ginger Goose (GB) 20.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Creaky Cricket 15.00 7.5 14-1
12 11 Metz 20.00 8.5 16-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
16 16 Drinks On Maggie 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Uncle Junior 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Its About Me 20.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Slightly Tipsy 6.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Heidi Ho 15.00 SCRATCH
12 11 Catharsis 4.50 2.5 5-1
10 9 Nothins Free 4.00 2.6 5-1
8 7 Honey Hearts 5.00 4.4 8-1
4 3 Candy Blu 8.00 4.5 8-1
11 10 Total Treasure 10.00 4.6 9-1
6 5 Tequila N Tacos 12.00 6.3 12-1
2 2 Up the Road 10.00 6.7 13-1
1 1 Five Up Rosa 20.00 7.3 14-1
9 8 Princess Zoe 10.00 7.6 14-1
7 6 Our Olivia 30.00 8.4 16-1
5 4 Show Biz Liz 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Rampart S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Curlin’s Approval 1.60 1.8 3-1
6 6 Nonna Mela 2.50 3.7 7-1
4 4 King’s Ghost 15.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Lewis Bay 3.50 4.3 8-1
5 5 Alpine Sky 6.00 4.7 9-1
2 2 Lirica 20.00 5.3 10-1
7 7 Gamble’s Ghost 12.00 5.5 10-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Apostle 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Bonus Card 30.00 SCRATCH
3 2 Navistar 1.40 2.5 5-1
10 8 Locomotion 5.00 3.3 6-1
2 1 He Takes Charge 6.00 3.4 6-1
9 7 Master Manipulator 6.00 4.1 8-1
8 6 Catch All 10.00 4.7 9-1
5 4 Personal Time 15.00 6 11-1
6 5 Shanghai Schwartz 15.00 6.2 12-1
4 3 Alpha to Omega 20.00 6.6 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Sugar Swirl S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Girls Know Best 15.00 SCRATCH
7 6 Pretty Perfection 4.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Dearest 1.20 2.6 5-1
5 5 True Romance 5.00 3.9 7-1
2 2 Miss Hollywood 6.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 More Than a Party 15.00 4.9 9-1
9 8 Bodacious Babe 15.00 5.6 11-1
8 7 Rich Mommy 12.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Stella Performance 20.00 6.8 13-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – My Charmer S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 On Leave 1.40 2.6 5-1
7 7 Stormy Victoria (FR) 3.50 3.1 6-1
2 2 Southern Gem 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Inside Out 12.00 4.9 9-1
4 4 Josdesanimaux 12.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Gianna’s Dream 6.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Defiant Honor 10.00 5.7 11-1
1 1 April Gaze 20.00 6.7 13-1
6 6 Pancake 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Harlan’s Holiday S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Mr. Jordan 4.00 3 6-1
8 8 Flatlined 6.00 3.6 7-1
3 3 Destin 2.50 3.8 7-1
1 1 Richard the Great 10.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Fear the Cowboy 3.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 Page McKenney 6.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Conquest Big E 15.00 5.6 11-1
9 9 Joshua’s Comprise 30.00 7.5 14-1
6 6 Frammento 20.00 7.7 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Tropical Turf S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Le Ken (ARG) 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Tower of Texas 6.00 3 6-1
7 6 Blacktype (FR) 2.00 3.1 6-1
4 3 All Included 3.50 3.1 6-1
9 8 Shakhimat 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Camelot Kitten 4.50 4.9 9-1
6 5 Western Reserve 12.00 5.1 10-1
5 4 Galton 10.00 5.4 10-1
8 7 One Go All Go 20.00 7.4 14-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Boru 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Forgotten Coast 8.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Ceevee 12.00 4.1 8-1
11 10 Dr. Bombay 4.50 4.1 8-1
9 8 Hyndford 3.50 4.8 9-1
3 3 Rocky Strange 20.00 5.4 10-1
7 6 Prompt 6.00 5.5 10-1
10 9 Tejas Ranger (IRE) 12.00 5.7 11-1
6 5 Armchair Jockey 15.00 6.2 12-1
1 1 Piantagrane 20.00 7.3 14-1
8 7 Claret Jug 15.00 7.6 14-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.