December 16, 2017 Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
14 |
14 |
Here’s to Mike |
10.00 |
SCRATCH |
4 |
4 |
Ousby |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Zipi Zape |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
9 |
9 |
Dream Shot |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Lighthouse Sound |
3.50 |
2.9 |
5-1 |
6 |
5 |
Fan Base |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
7 |
6 |
Imperial Warrior |
5.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
2 |
2 |
Forall the Marbles |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
Make It Gold |
12.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
12 |
10 |
Summer Scamp |
10.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
Megeve |
8.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
5 |
4 |
The Son Wind |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
11 |
9 |
Vigas |
15.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
13 |
11 |
Island Therapy |
30.00 |
7.2 |
14-1 |
10 |
8 |
Unspoken Quality |
30.00 |
9.2 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Tajeliha |
8.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Golda |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
9 |
9 |
Prospective Moment |
10.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Optimistic Shot |
3.50 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
5 |
5 |
Dim Sum |
4.50 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
10 |
10 |
Devuelta |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
8 |
8 |
Laguna Dream |
6.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
13 |
13 |
Rahy Momenta |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
7 |
7 |
Bawarige |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
2 |
2 |
Forty Knots |
15.00 |
8.1 |
15-1 |
11 |
11 |
Lil Bay Corvette |
12.00 |
8.2 |
16-1 |
12 |
12 |
Christianity |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
3 |
3 |
She’s Wild Now |
30.00 |
9.6 |
18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
15 |
15 |
Brickyard Kitten |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Regal Kitten |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
5 |
5 |
Starship Frontier |
12.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Donation |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Little Baltar |
4.00 |
2.2 |
4-1 |
4 |
4 |
Modern Tale |
4.50 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
8 |
7 |
Lucky Kitten |
6.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Weeza Gone Gray |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Dominate |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
10 |
9 |
Starship Rocky |
10.00 |
6.4 |
12-1 |
11 |
10 |
Orpheus (ARG) |
8.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
9 |
8 |
Wild Mongolia |
15.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
6 |
5 |
Ginger Goose (GB) |
20.00 |
7.1 |
13-1 |
2 |
2 |
Creaky Cricket |
15.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
12 |
11 |
Metz |
20.00 |
8.5 |
16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
16 |
16 |
Drinks On Maggie |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
13 |
13 |
Uncle Junior |
4.00 |
SCRATCH |
14 |
14 |
Its About Me |
20.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
3 |
Slightly Tipsy |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
15 |
15 |
Heidi Ho |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
12 |
11 |
Catharsis |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
10 |
9 |
Nothins Free |
4.00 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
8 |
7 |
Honey Hearts |
5.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
4 |
3 |
Candy Blu |
8.00 |
4.5 |
8-1 |
11 |
10 |
Total Treasure |
10.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Tequila N Tacos |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
2 |
2 |
Up the Road |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
1 |
1 |
Five Up Rosa |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
9 |
8 |
Princess Zoe |
10.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
7 |
6 |
Our Olivia |
30.00 |
8.4 |
16-1 |
5 |
4 |
Show Biz Liz |
15.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Rampart S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Curlin’s Approval |
1.60 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
6 |
6 |
Nonna Mela |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
King’s Ghost |
15.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lewis Bay |
3.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Alpine Sky |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Lirica |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Gamble’s Ghost |
12.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
7 |
7 |
Apostle |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Bonus Card |
30.00 |
SCRATCH |
3 |
2 |
Navistar |
1.40 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
10 |
8 |
Locomotion |
5.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
2 |
1 |
He Takes Charge |
6.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
9 |
7 |
Master Manipulator |
6.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
8 |
6 |
Catch All |
10.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
5 |
4 |
Personal Time |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
6 |
5 |
Shanghai Schwartz |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
4 |
3 |
Alpha to Omega |
20.00 |
6.6 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Sugar Swirl S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Girls Know Best |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
7 |
6 |
Pretty Perfection |
4.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
1 |
1 |
Dearest |
1.20 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
5 |
5 |
True Romance |
5.00 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
2 |
2 |
Miss Hollywood |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
More Than a Party |
15.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
9 |
8 |
Bodacious Babe |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
8 |
7 |
Rich Mommy |
12.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
4 |
4 |
Stella Performance |
20.00 |
6.8 |
13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – My Charmer S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
On Leave |
1.40 |
2.6 |
5-1 |
7 |
7 |
Stormy Victoria (FR) |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Southern Gem |
6.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Inside Out |
12.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Josdesanimaux |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
8 |
8 |
Gianna’s Dream |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
9 |
9 |
Defiant Honor |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
1 |
1 |
April Gaze |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
6 |
6 |
Pancake |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Harlan’s Holiday S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
2 |
2 |
Mr. Jordan |
4.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
8 |
8 |
Flatlined |
6.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Destin |
2.50 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
1 |
1 |
Richard the Great |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
7 |
Fear the Cowboy |
3.50 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Page McKenney |
6.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
4 |
4 |
Conquest Big E |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
9 |
9 |
Joshua’s Comprise |
30.00 |
7.5 |
14-1 |
6 |
6 |
Frammento |
20.00 |
7.7 |
15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Tropical Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Le Ken (ARG) |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Tower of Texas |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
7 |
6 |
Blacktype (FR) |
2.00 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
All Included |
3.50 |
3.1 |
6-1 |
9 |
8 |
Shakhimat |
8.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Camelot Kitten |
4.50 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
6 |
5 |
Western Reserve |
12.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
4 |
Galton |
10.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
8 |
7 |
One Go All Go |
20.00 |
7.4 |
14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
5 |
5 |
Boru |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Forgotten Coast |
8.00 |
3.4 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ceevee |
12.00 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
11 |
10 |
Dr. Bombay |
4.50 |
4.1 |
8-1 |
9 |
8 |
Hyndford |
3.50 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Rocky Strange |
20.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
6 |
Prompt |
6.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
10 |
9 |
Tejas Ranger (IRE) |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
6 |
5 |
Armchair Jockey |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
1 |
1 |
Piantagrane |
20.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
8 |
7 |
Claret Jug |
15.00 |
7.6 |
14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.