December 16, 2017 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Logan’s Reward | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1A | 11 | Whistling Wind | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cypress Cat | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 6 | Ten Silver Pins | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Goforthegreen | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cascade Indian | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Bowknot Billy | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Countach | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Apollo’s Prince | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Kenzies Flair | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Greeley’s Kreem | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Brandy Station | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Jonamin | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 11 | Pancho’s Lucky Boy | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Neon Sky | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Pure Bingo | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Cape Rosso | 3.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Chewing Candy | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Charlie Hoss | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Louisiana Moon | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tall Story | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ryd a Star | 10.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Twice Silver | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ty C | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Sugar Bowl S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Bourne in Nixa | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Metric System | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 3 | Steel Shot | 1.60 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Land Battle | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silis | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Blushing K. D. S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Valadorna | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Prado’s Sweet Ride | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Princess Erindelle | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Shes a True Beauty | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Vagabond Princess | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Majestic Angel | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Joyous Thunder | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Emerald Pond | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Giada Vegas | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dark Templar | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | United Patriot | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Principe Guilherme | 1.20 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ciaran | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Private Eye | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Back Stage Boy | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dubby Dubbie | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Buddy Diliberto Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Sir Dudley Digges | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Saham | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Turbo Street (AUS) | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Up With the Birds | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Thatcher Street | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Applicator | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tizzarunner | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | High Noon Rider | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dimension (GB) | 20.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Stakes) – Letellier Memorial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Thoughtless Doll | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Upset Brewing | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vision of Justice | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She’s Pretty Lucky | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Noblame | 5.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Girl Janelle | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stellar Moon | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Waki Patriot | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Bonapaw S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Chiltern Street | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Blue Wings | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Sir Navigator | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Enchantera | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 6 | Kid Perfect | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 2 | Singingintheheat | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Field of Courage | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 7 | Imma Bling | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 5 | Irritator | 10.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 3 | Eden Grey’s Kitten | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 8 | Balandeen | 20.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 4 | Show Bound | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Waging War | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Cutter Helm | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Shiitake | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alternative Route | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Secret Speed | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | B Dubya | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | San Elijo | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chrome Shaft | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zing Zang | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sensational Zip | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mercertown | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bammmeister | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hotnthirsty | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Take Charge Easy | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Tenacious S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fear the Cowboy | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Dazzling Gem | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Leofric | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Money Flows | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Field of Courage | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Cooptado (ARG) | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Shut the Box | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Far Right | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sticksstatelydude | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Mine My Time | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 3 | Just a Coinkydink | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 9 | Drena’s Star | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Kilroy Was Here | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Pucon | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | M G Warrior | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Smoke Monster | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Mighty Oaks Magic | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hours Truly | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | True Wisdom | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Vallier | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Strike Rate | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Late Nite Mischief | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 6 | Nileist | 8.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Lightning Twice | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Kalliste Rose | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Valina | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Nucla | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Salt Bae | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 9 | Lady Into Mischief | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mizz Fabulous | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Alva | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ava Atticus | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Gianna’s Gift | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Girl Factor | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Rose | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Enfestar | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Four for Mike | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Sabe Marcelete | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pinky Promise | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Fitzgerald | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | E. T. Lane | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Clevius | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bayou Lady | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jane Ran a Double | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Rahy’s Breeze | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Juanita’s Orthodox | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Clara’s Reign | 30.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Skin Deep | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.