December 15, 2017 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Sophia Del Sol |
2.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
2 |
2 |
Misty Slew |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Cee Sam’s Girl |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Artistic Ministry |
2.50 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Jinn Win |
6.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
3 |
3 |
Wannabe Solo |
15.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Freddies Dream |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
1 |
1 |
South Texas Lingo |
3.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
3 |
3 |
Broadway Nika |
3.50 |
3.9 |
7-1 |
5 |
5 |
Nagys Piggy Bank |
6.00 |
4 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Ucanthankmelater |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Mimis Big Boy |
6.00 |
4.9 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Tiz Proof |
8.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
1 |
Time for Cioppino |
1.40 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
4 |
3 |
North County Guy |
1.60 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
6 |
5 |
Whiskey N Cigars |
10.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
3 |
2 |
Black Site |
5.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
5 |
4 |
Blitzing Mario |
15.00 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
1 |
1 |
Just Be Held |
2.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
6 |
6 |
Coronado Cool |
2.50 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Todos Santos |
5.00 |
3.6 |
7-1 |
4 |
4 |
Carrie |
10.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Sapodilla |
3.00 |
4.6 |
9-1 |
3 |
3 |
Reinahermosa |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Seaquet |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Exactamente |
3.00 |
SCRATCH |
2 |
2 |
Fly Far Away |
15.00 |
SCRATCH |
1 |
1 |
Tizway That Way |
2.50 |
2.1 |
4-1 |
7 |
5 |
Ryder’s Starlight |
4.00 |
2.9 |
6-1 |
4 |
2 |
Backintheacademy |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
5 |
3 |
Jill Madden |
6.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
4 |
Sheswildnfree |
6.00 |
4.5 |
9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
8 |
8 |
My Secret Affair |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
4 |
Pat the Bear |
2.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
2 |
2 |
Four Gaels |
8.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
5 |
5 |
Johns Journey |
3.50 |
4.4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Quantum Force |
4.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
7 |
7 |
Warren’s Cole |
8.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
6 |
6 |
Changing Karma |
15.00 |
5.4 |
10-1 |
3 |
3 |
Lucky Cotton |
20.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
6 |
6 |
Plane Lucky |
2.50 |
1.9 |
4-1 |
7 |
7 |
Dreamy Gal |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
3 |
3 |
Bold At Night |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
2 |
2 |
Be a Lady |
3.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
5 |
5 |
Tuscany Beauty |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
4 |
4 |
Princess Kendra |
5.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
1 |
1 |
No Comparison |
20.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
3 |
3 |
Cowboytakemeaway |
6.00 |
SCRATCH |
8 |
7 |
D D’s Lute |
6.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
4 |
3 |
Raising Aida |
4.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
1 |
1 |
Ahimsa |
3.50 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
7 |
6 |
Ride Lady Ride |
5.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
6 |
5 |
Loving Moment |
6.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
2 |
2 |
Star Dreamin |
8.00 |
5.1 |
10-1 |
5 |
4 |
Gracious Me |
6.00 |
5.6 |
11-1 |
9 |
8 |
Jazzy |
20.00 |
5.9 |
11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.