December 15, 2017 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shop Around Sue | 2.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flash Copy | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Desert Empress | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Run By | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bulletsandbourbon | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Floatie | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Promises Broken | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 5 | Star’s Bella Vita | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ruby Dusk | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Blasted Boss | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | How Sweet It Is | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cause to Wonder | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Miss Dreamsicle | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Costa Sugar | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lookin At Grace | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tossed Salad | 12.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Easy Geaux | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Philly | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dollar Dancer | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reese’s Glory | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Red Hot Cherry | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Native Wahoo | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | She’s Got the Mojo | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Boomtiderock | 6.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tengey | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Candy Rail | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Meg and Clair | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Can’t Count That | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Paddy O’Lionel | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tip Tap Tapizar | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Maddy’s Pro | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | King Cake | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Case’s Ticket | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Set Hut | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Heza Tinker | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Cascade Range | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Conquest Mystique | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Katy’s Cooper | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Keep It Up | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | K L S Forty Three | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hud | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Zar’s Star | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bentley’s Show | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Oscarific | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Musial | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Oakmont | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Mi Viejo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Magnanimus Man | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 6 | Good Play | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | The Babyson | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | A P Indy Is Gold | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Hold On Angel | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Alex Autumn River | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mommy’s Soldier | 20.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Hard to Be Good | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Path of David | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kit Check | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Jax Heritage | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King of All Media | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Methuselah | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Candy Carlos | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Smorgasbord | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Wolfel Bear | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cool Ambition | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 15 | Canadian Maximus | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Bet On Black | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Super Chase | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Outback Jack | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Il Est Vite | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Good Enough Said | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Idol McArtneyvalue | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Caleb Hawk | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Phil Up Da Bank | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Final Deed | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Robert E. Lee | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tooth | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Vicks First Pick | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | So Nilsson | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Unk’s Red Man | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.