December 14, 2017 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Beauley | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | White Oak Swamp | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Diva’s Ransom | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Starship Journey | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Open Interest | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Express Yourself | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Shatorah | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Little Lola | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Charming Deputy | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Whiskey Bravo | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cape Race | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Modern Medicine | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | All Dat Brees | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bluegrass Bronco | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fleetway | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Demands Attention | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Why It’s True | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Johnny Obvious | 12.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fuhrious Warrior | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hula Pie | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Grace’s Bandit | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Trim Down | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shedrow Cocktails | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Yonadixie | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kayne’spotofgold | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lip Service | 5.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bold Legion | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Crider Cash | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 10 | Candi’s Kitten | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 12 | Onemorefastdance | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 13 | Castiel’s Angel | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 1 | Saint Mamie | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 2B | 7 | St. Louis City | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Sage’s Epiphany | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Yooou Den | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 3 | Wildwood Scat | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Harbor Jedi | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Havinfunyet | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Castle Zip | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Forgotten | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flashy Shoes | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 8 | Dubai Kowboy | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 4 | Pea Shooter Pro | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3C | 9 | Classic Salsa | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Smoothmoney | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2B | 6 | Tale of Beaucette | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 3 | Couragous Chris | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 1 | Freakonthelead | 4.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Troubled Waters | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Gray Ransom | 5.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 10 | Champagne Tony | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | One Eyed Candyride | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 12 | Silver Soiree | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | To Be Famous | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Mystic Magnolia | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Golden Amber | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Naples Mist | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sandstorm | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Feelin Foxie | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mix and Mingle | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Malibu Royalty | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amen Sista | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Chris Cove Town | 8.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Proud Talike | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sheer Mayhem | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hideaway Hero | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Zenucci | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Morning Mischief | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sean | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beau Rouge | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whathadhappenwuz | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Hud | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Keep It Up | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Humor | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Katy’s Cooper | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Itsthebourbontalkn | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Roar of the Lion | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Disinclined | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stolen Candy | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dattts Our Guy | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | French Command | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Party Marty | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Higher Factor | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Box Knife | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aviator Parks | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hoodue | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Lil Miss Grey | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 13 | Tossed Salad | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 5 | Skipping Light | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Little Miss Rebel | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Ms Brown Gravy | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Sea Strollin | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Thats Roger Song | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Tattle Tail Sue | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Folsom Hanover | 8.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Good Call | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Roman Bird | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Carson’s Katie | 10.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Belleofthebayou | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.