December 14, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Zactly | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Cayenne | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | R. V.’s Express | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lil Gabe | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Can’t Stop Kohen | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arch Madness | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kingston Ruler | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blake’s Father | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dipper Pines | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lil’ Red Hoss | 30.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Eastabuchie | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cajun Dude | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Pilot House | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Ruston Vow | 2.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Luke’s Cajun Star | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bellarmine | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Galaxy Builder | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Arkansas Martini | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Nublado Bling | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Mr. Bandini’s Band | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Robert’s Prince | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Sharp Machete | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Patriot Father | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Kiss of the Wolf | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Custom Bling | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Half of Tip Tap | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Smooth Colliery | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bless All | 12.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Louisiana Wildcat | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | He’s an Honest Man | 12.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Oh No Petrino | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tunica Girl | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gg’s Gracefulgabby | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gold Chrome | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Etoile d’Allie | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | M B Prize | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Titanium Girl | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gibes | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dixie Jackpot | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Ardyn | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Demo Day | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Anita Bonita | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Boggidyboggidy | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ima Bear Too | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Giant Collin | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Love Ice | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Poker Fever Gal | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Grand Hospitality | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bo Bo Bridge | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bee Bee’s Bullet | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Etbauer’s Ide | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | First Adapter | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Skylas Gold | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Scatdaddyscat | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Armanno | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Mighty Intimidator | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Top Cat Bullet | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Closing Way | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Won Again | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Power and Grace | 30.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Crude Operator | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 7 | Fort Stevens | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | The Ice Guy | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Rooster J | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Yes Im Tricky | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Bubba Ray’s Sun | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Freeontechnicality | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tiznberry | 15.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Awesome Dancing | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Calebs Gift | 30.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Classic Greeley | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Fiddlers Farewell | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Soulja Slim | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tor Con Six | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Runaway Ide | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Northwoods Cat | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | All About Diva | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amberjack Rey | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wild Bert | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Proud Italian | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Wolf’s Song | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Moment of Time | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 6 | Halo Redding | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Sweet Richter | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Smooth Gallop | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Artist by the Sea | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Captain | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Highroller Man | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Tick Tock Tizzy | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Muddy Bayou | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Holy Beau | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Oklahoma Lizzie | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Overknight | 4.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tornado Man | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Colt’s Secret | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Reydell | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | A. P.’s Prince | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Debriyn | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mac Be Sweet | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Theboyzspark | 30.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sholtz | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sacred Saga | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.