December 10, 2017 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | She Loves Leather | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Our Bernattete | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Casino Beach | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Archarityrobbyn | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Salute Elle | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Keen Move | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rosecoloredglasses | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alotatrouble | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Svindahl | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Minecraft | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Big Kick | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Wild About You | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Conscious Decision | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Ghurair | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Mo Money | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | West Village | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Alvear | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Claymaker | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Montana Kid | 4.50 | 11 | 21-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Triple Creek | 12.00 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Cadet Captain | 12.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Tashreeh | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Lassell | 5.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Witts Henny Penny | 12.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | In Full Swing | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 5 | Miz Clipper | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Can She Scoot | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | How Sweet It Is | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Mia Bella Rossa | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Blue Chicory | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Proud Dixie | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Heir Apparent | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Wicked Stride | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Get a Valentine | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Star Cross | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Star’s Bella Vita | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 7 | Deep Explorer | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Thirsty Actor | 3.50 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Cordero (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Santa Americana | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mizztic Tale | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Tito Tonight | 8.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Call the Colonel | 8.00 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Devil’s Teeth | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Harlons Commision | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cotton Eye Gem | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Archusexy | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Racey Reecey | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Meadow Gem | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mariah’s Galaxy | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lovely Charlie | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Top Figure | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Conquest Tiz One | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rum Go | 4.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | World Peace | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Excessivespending | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | On Probation | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Grandma’s Princess | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Carolina Jasmine | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Emily’s Entourage | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tricky One | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wind Chill Factor | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Starlight Express | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Oater | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Russell Cave | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Samargo | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Army Grey | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Cristals Candy | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | He’s Demanding | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Jackpot Johnny | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Butta Got Uncs Bac | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alaskan Causeway | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Spelletto | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Zeke | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Private Eye | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Dr. Baskin | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Here’s Paco | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Midnight Candle | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Morrison | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Alien Invasion | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lucky Bucky | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thank Ya Jesus | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Freedom Factor | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Burnt Bluff | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Charlie de Hustle | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Miss You Jo | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Iron Grip | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bottle Let Me Down | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Custom Ridge | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dickie Do Wrong | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Greeley’s Glacken | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lucas Henry G | 5.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lookingforroses | 4.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Band Boss | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.