December 9, 2017 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
We Will Re Joyce |
2.50 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Sugaratsundown |
8.00 |
2.5 |
5-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Innyminniemineymoe |
2.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Midnight Summer |
2.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
La Chepis |
4.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Dream of Eagles |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Popular Kid |
2.50 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Curly’s Waterfront |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Rainbow Squall |
6.00 |
3.2 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Saldamente |
6.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Run Like Rhett |
2.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Hawks Peak |
8.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Los Alamitos Cash Call Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
McKinzie |
1.20 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Solomini |
1.40 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Runaway Ghost |
8.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
For Him |
15.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Instilled Regard |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Stakes) – Starlet S.
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Dream Tree |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
War Heroine |
1.80 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Piedi Bianchi |
2.50 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Yesterday’s News |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Exuberance |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Hotsy Dotsy |
1.40 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Alpha Pegasus |
8.00 |
2.8 |
5-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Quality Girl |
2.00 |
4.2 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Curlina Curlina |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Theverythotofyou |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Princess Nicole |
5.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Sonnet’s Joy |
20.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Big Hunk |
2.50 |
1.8 |
3-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Fabrication |
2.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Mac McLovin |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Country Fast |
5.00 |
4.8 |
9-1 |
Scr |
9 |
8 |
Downhill Run |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Quoting Hawk |
10.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Awesome Prophecy |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Mojolicious |
15.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Derby Kingdom |
15.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Always Never |
3.00 |
1.2 |
2-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Mizter Kool Cat |
8.00 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
T’s Place |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Chief Tiger |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Who’s Hot |
5.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Carulli |
4.00 |
6.2 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Helluva Choice |
2.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Long Game |
12.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
3 |
Guy Code |
8.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Prime Issue |
2.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
Scr |
11 |
7 |
Tough But Nice |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Packin Heat |
20.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Hardcore Troubador |
0.00 |
5.2 |
10-1 |
Scr |
10 |
6 |
Bolster |
6.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Matriculate |
3.00 |
6.5 |
12-1 |
Scr |
4 |
2 |
Closing Time |
6.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
Fire to the Wire |
4.50 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
8 |
5 |
Here Comes Autism |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
3 |
1 |
Highly Acclaimed |
20.00 |
8.8 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Incensed |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Just Kidding |
4.50 |
3.5 |
7-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
City Steel |
6.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Chris and Dave |
5.00 |
3.8 |
7-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Ground Rules |
3.00 |
5.5 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Storm Comin Thru |
15.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Dadtaughtmewell |
6.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Red Carpet Cat |
12.00 |
5.8 |
11-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Beaumarchais |
5.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.