December 9, 2017 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Stakes) – Louisana Champions Day Qh Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Heza Louisiana Dash | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Strong Guns | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Absolute Shot | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Super Sonic Patriot | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Jes a Fast Dasher | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Ldn Jessasaltydog | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Heza Bell Perry | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | My Favorite Blue | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Running Game Patriot | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Ww Showtime | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Stakes) – Louisana Champions Qh Derby
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 10 | Toast to Virginia | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Gt Runaway Date | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Royal Quick Patriot | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Nd Super Long Pass | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Di Maria | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Buds World | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Fast Dashin Dee | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Dont Kill Patriot | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shatto Stoli | 6.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Fabulously Fast Game | 20.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jess a Little Star | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Coronaoro | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Qh Juvenile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Blue Eyed Fance | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dashnunder Afullmoon | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Jrs Natural Runaway | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sha Boo Yah | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Eyesa Game | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cos I Get It | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jls Dash N Fire | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Second Down Leaving | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yumyumcomegetyousome | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Tee Lajolla | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fabulously Black | 15.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Piloto Shiner | 12.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Starter H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Well’s Gold | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Southern Mister | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fist Full | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thunderberg | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sky Stanza | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | B Brazin | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Princetonian | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Lassie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Minit to Stardom | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Andthebandplayedon | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cool Spring | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Yes Gorgeous | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Just a Bandit | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sarah’s Holy Belle | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Girls Life | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | She’screative | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Ladies S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 5 | Dontmesswithjoanne | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Seaside Candy | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Inveniam Viam | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Pacific Pink | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Calamity Jane | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Safari Calamari | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Al’s Gal | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Tenpins Tempo | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Pera | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Starlet Guitar | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Champagne Diva | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Saints’ Girl | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cool Spring | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 10 | Special Blessing | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Classy Paddy | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Fame Feather | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | She Sang Dixie | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 11 | Deezee Dial | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Selene’s Argument | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | B’s Ten | 4.50 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Carson’s Prospect | 30.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Memory Magic | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Empress B | 20.00 | 13 | 25-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Turf S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Trust Factor | 1.60 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gentlmens Agrement | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Extra Credit | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Fort Pulaski | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Impressive Student | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hail to the Nile | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jack Snipe’s | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Harbor Pilot | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Who Datawaki | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Juvenile S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Divine Bean | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Aceguitar | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Cajun Creed | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Greeley Went West | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ready Prospector | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Singing Deacon | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Exigent | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Herbie | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Prayer Boy | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pound for Pound | 8.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Extra Credit | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Underpressure | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mobile Bay | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Seaside Candy | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Grande Basin | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mageez | 5.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Classy Bird | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | One King’s Man | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Stand Him Up | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jockamo’s Song | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Philly | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | My Friend Flavin | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Biblical Strength | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Nubin Ridge | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Outofthisgalaxy | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just Kissing Buck | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hunker Down | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Double Barrel Man | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Stakes) – Louisiana Champions Day Ladies Sprint S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sunny Oak | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Bitsy’s C C | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wheatfield | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Miss Chiff | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dr Liz | 50.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Fairwell Tax Break | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Elektracutioner | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Play Unified | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Look Into My Eyes | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Discreetly Grand | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bitsy’s Afleet | 4.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Nippy Red | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Charge the Line | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Violent Ways | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Mr. Carlos | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Miracle Master | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Nebulas | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Thirtysix G’s | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Maga Man | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | My First Guitar | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | A Flash of Copper | 6.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | In Charge Halo | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Four G’s | 15.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.