December 9, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Gotthemusicinme | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crenshaw | 1.80 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Love Alley | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Adios a Todos | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Walker the Wiz | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Gentleman’s Prize | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Toast to Michael | 30.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tiznberry | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Help Is On the Way | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Muddy Bayou | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Mordecai Man | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Brother Who | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mediamaker | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | I Want a Picture | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bakota | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Forestdungone | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Theboyzdelight | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lightning Lewis | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Freak Nasty Flyer | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Hot Wired | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Space Cowgirl | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Honest Woman | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Galliano | 4.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jutta | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Redding Well | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Crissy Tenpins | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Kiss Endra | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Laurens Flash Back | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Honest Smile | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Dr. Frankie Kaye | 30.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 9 | Mr Lexis | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 10 | Valen Forever | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Rare Rose Royce | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Forest Mist | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | R. Great Adventure | 2.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Sivershow | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Montbrooks Miracle | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1A | 11 | My Flit N Flot | 3.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Just too Smart | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Stanton C | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Moon Hopper | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | It’s a Sweet One | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Japedo | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dr. Boehrer | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | County Coroner | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Overnight Stay | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Professorial | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Taken Back | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Legendary Larry | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Flying South | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Let’s Go Boss | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Now Mind You | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Max Our Man | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | What a Shiner | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Big Maurice | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Booth Road Ozzie | 30.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sharp Clark | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Peerage | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Stars R Out | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 10 | Secret Hero | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bold Star | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Five Card Congress | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Clancy’s Pepper | 3.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sin Llorar | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Halos Prayer | 15.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Thiscatsatalkin | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chia Ghost | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Mischievous Bull | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Randy Paul | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Masculino | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Sierra Victor | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 6 | Under and Over | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Louisiana Flyboy | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Runnin Sky | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Rose Needs a Check | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Blessed Song | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Oh Dear Lord | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Star Too | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Just Kicking Back | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ellashoo | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | D’wild Muffin | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wild for Cathrine | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Our Sweet Sydni | 6.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Why Me’s Legacy | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | A Great Vice | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pride and Gioia | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | My Bobbie Girl | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Goredcountess | 30.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Bubbas Lucky Spell | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Eunice | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | She’s a Smart Cat | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Good and Sizzlin | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Whiskey Chick | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Dixie Misty | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Rylee’s Grand Song | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Tania’s Song | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Princess Gianna | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pay Me N Pennies | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Doeny Sparks | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | D D’s Delight | 3.50 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Itsbouttime | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Flame N Jane | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Lucky Thief | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Storm Salt | 30.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.