December 9, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Honor Up | 1.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Iron Johnny | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Magnetron | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Honor Mission | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sicilia Sal | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Imaginar | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carmine’s Honor | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Save the Sangria | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 6 | Baratti | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Toohottoevenspeak | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Run for James | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Lone Trader | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Brianbakescookies | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Manifest Destiny | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Devine Dental | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 2 | Son of Oahu | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Sparty Boy | 8.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Acoustic | 3.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Zigarch | 6.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Conquest Expresso | 5.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | The Orphan Miracle | 8.00 | 12 | 23-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Poshsky | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2A | 2 | J S Bach | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Old Upstart | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5A | 5 | For Greater Glory | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Chilly Bon Bon | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Two Down One to Go | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Caoimhe | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Blue Eyes | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nyromaniac | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Status Asthmaticus | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Speedy Analysis | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Netti’s Legacy | 5.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tiz Anna Rae | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Desert Jazz | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Vip Nation | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Hot Possebility | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Caribbean Girl | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Girlie’s Dream | 30.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 8 | Reedini | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Archival | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Mr. Euro | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Howie’s Tiz | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Royal Burgh | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Tottie Royer | 50.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Competitiveness | 2.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ten Twenty Nine | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Archivero | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bavaro | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Giantinthemoonlite | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Global Positioning | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | My Boy Tate | 1.60 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Samadi Sky | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bigshotinthenews | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Brimstone | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | E J’s Legacy | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | D’yer Mak’er | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Discretionary Marq | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Benevolence | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Outrageous Bet | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | For Pops | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Mission Command | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Awesome Heart | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Fled | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Ross Boss | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 11 | Lenny | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Source Control | 10.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Louisiana Lady | 12.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Formal Start | 30.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Garland Of Roses S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Quezon | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Absatootly | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fusaichi Red | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Picco Uno | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ms Locust Point | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Friend of Liberty | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Kalabaka | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Missimpazi | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Velvet Trinni | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Forever Dreams | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Lady Bountiful | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Molly’s Nighthawk | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dancingwthdaffodls | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Very Charming | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hug the Rail | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flatliner | 20.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Reyana Reya Dreams | 50.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Beautiful Buzz | 6.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Classy Cara | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | I Admire You | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.