December 8, 2017 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | A Crown for Beau | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Star Rocket | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Quiet Prince | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Two Date | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Speedy Chorde | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Arnaud | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Crown the Barber | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 4 | Frisco Girl | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Arabella Bella | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | She’s Got Pride | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lunaris | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Ashy Taty | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Golden Bombshell | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Aubrey | 4.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Corluna | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Tabaddol | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Cooking Up a Storm | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Firespike | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | M J All Day | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Gung Ho | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Glory Kingdom | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Taking Charge | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Fiftyshadesofbay | 4.50 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tyler’s Wildcat | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Valadorna | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Song of Spring | 5.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Conquest Fleetfeet | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Factory of Faith | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Larkin | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Diamonds for Leah | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Magic City Classic S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2B | 10 | Babalight | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Branchwater | 0.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 3 | Artemis Talent | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 7 | Alabama Brass | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Indy’s Code | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1A | 2 | Buggin Out | 0.80 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bubbassecondchance | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Mississippi | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Arnina | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Menewa | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 10 | 11 | Major Ranchero | 30.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 3C | 13 | Alotatrouble | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Ninja Booboo | 30.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Dynashe | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Breaking Beauty | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Regal Dame | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Power Empire (JPN) | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Bringyourownbottle | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Yes to the Dress | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fight With Pride | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Beltway | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Top Mention | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eights Wild | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Victory Shout | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mistake Present | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Chuck’s Quest | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dorfman | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Clockwork King | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Streetlady | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Holly Go Lightly | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Crackling Bread | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Naples Legacy | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Classy Act | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Judy’s Jam | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Wildcat Beauty | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Special Relativity | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Booneville Chapel | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Salt Bae | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 12 | Big Blue Magic | 4.50 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Lady Blessings | 3.50 | 10 | 19-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Drane Fame | 8.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Valya’s Vengeance | 12.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 11 | Avoree Noel | 12.00 | 15 | 28-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Red Tide | 20.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | 10 | Shamrock Star | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Conquest Tiz One | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Totally Kim | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Jo Jo’s Wine | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Efforting | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Actif Storm | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Ours to Run | 12.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Samurai | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Catherine’s Dream | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Juno’s Starlet | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Chases Dixie Belle | 12.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Half a Go Go | 8.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Grand Tuner | 12.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Beadsinthetrees | 20.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Commanding Action | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Amazing Bella | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Toga Dance | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grand Fais Do Do | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fiftyshadesofnay | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Carlena | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Yella Wally Gator | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Jopssal Dream | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.