December 8, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
10 |
10 |
Drama Specialist |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Swanky |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Light Up the Devil |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
My Royalty |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Brave Daisey |
20.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Mac’s Monster |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Miss Kitty Kitty |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Harper Bee |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Candyontherise |
10.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Exotic Sin |
20.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
2 |
2 |
Rainwalker |
3.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Electric Kiss |
6.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Dale’s Lil Sis |
10.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Zarba’s Charm |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Salty Martini |
2.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Best Bling |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Lefthoofrightleft |
4.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Southern Wind |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Glorious Day |
2.50 |
1.3 |
3-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
My Cowgirl |
2.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Space Cowgirl |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Our Easter Lily |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Blowin Your Mind |
3.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Miss Wekati |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
One King’s Rose |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Double Angel |
12.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Keelies Tea Party |
15.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Thegrayspider |
15.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Indian Bayou |
12.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Chispa |
20.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
10 |
10 |
Mamadancesinthesky |
10.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Toni’s Vow |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Sweet N Special |
12.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Winnie the Roo |
8.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Midge’s Magic |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Tough Landing |
6.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Tizabitdistorted |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Dramatic Act |
1.60 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Elody |
3.50 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Stellar Magic |
15.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Im a Royal Tamer |
12.00 |
10.3 |
20-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Palmettovowmenot |
15.00 |
11.7 |
22-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Bold Chrome |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Conner Clark |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Flashy Image |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Mister Ander |
15.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Calipso Baby |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Bread |
2.50 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Double Down Bob |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Rock Creek |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Lethal Move |
10.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Captain’s Song |
20.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
My Pal Viv |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
My Gal Sarah |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Ms Advisor |
1.80 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Estrella |
5.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Nola’s Fireball |
20.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Fantasy Frills |
12.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Flower Child |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Blushing Reality |
6.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Honest Scarlet |
15.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
10 |
10 |
Call It Luck |
8.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Pep N Flight |
10.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Tammany Parkway |
3.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Fire Blaster |
8.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Whoajoey |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Brown’s Monkey |
15.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
No Game for Sissys |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Bushido Samurai |
4.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Bandit for Time |
4.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Alex’s Turn |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Im a Cowboy Too |
20.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Mile R Meaux |
15.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Halfflatt |
12.00 |
9 |
17-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Drop Dead Red |
1.60 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Glide Baby Glide |
4.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Cause You Can |
6.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Too Bad Chu |
15.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Sibling War |
3.50 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Purely Blessed |
10.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Soul Affair |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
J J Queen |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
My Bonne Margie |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
A Song for Arch |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Confederate Yell |
4.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Theclassprayer |
4.50 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Gotta Go First |
6.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Manofsass |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
My New Guiter |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Song N a Cat |
4.50 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Sunnyonastormyday |
8.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Rhettever |
2.50 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Mob Posse |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Landman |
20.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
D’digger |
4.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Level Temper |
20.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Brylee’s Deelite |
6.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Double Down |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Classic Emmett |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Father George |
8.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Felonious Friend |
12.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.