December 8, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Lady Constance | 0.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Mary Pray for Us | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Rahy’s Bandit | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Iwishirish | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Over My Head | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ice Palace | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Playwright | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Tammany Giant | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Croatia | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | I Miss My Father | 1.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Classi Cat | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 5 | Catapult Jack | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Heat Check | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Rimanisempreforte | 5.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Majestic Bloom | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Daring Prospect | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Queen of Spades | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Gobi | 1.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Preziosa | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Big Thicket | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | D’rock | 20.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Nine Route | 1.60 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mickey T | 30.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Leap to Glory | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Beach Access | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Trinni Juice | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Flick of an Eye | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Winner’s Dream | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Miss Aja Brown | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kacy Lauren | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Queen of Castle | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Free N Clear | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Zeven | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Spring for More | 5.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Reckless Humor | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Maddizaskar | 3.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 10 | Baronet | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Khaleesi Kat | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sugar Mags | 15.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Indygita | 15.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sheikinator | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Candy Promises | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Conquest Bigluck E | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Conquest Twister | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rockford | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mello Groove | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Will Did It | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | D’funnything | 2.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Samadi Sky | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 14 | 14 | My Boy Tate | 1.80 | 4.2 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 12 | 12 | Bobby On Fleek | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 15 | 15 | Global Positioning | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 13 | Saratoga Giro | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 10 | Changewilldoyagood | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tribecca | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Uncle Youdge | 10.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Psychic Energy | 3.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Crocheron Kid | 6.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Tiz a Chance | 8.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Leaveematthegate | 8.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uno Emayo | 15.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Francis Freud | 20.00 | 14.7 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sierra Aleone | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Fools Gold | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Moi | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Go | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lemoona | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Cocktail Countess | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Delta House | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.