December 7, 2017 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Golden Argument | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aint There No More | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | I Am Ready Again | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Data | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Treys Midnite Moon | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Pal Kay | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mister Frenchie | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Last of the Luck | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Mizz Toshiba | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Patti Patti Patti | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz de Lovely | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Bikini Hottie | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Splashing | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tinabud | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Flashy Trick | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Singing Alli | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Ultra Arumba (BRZ) | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Stately Defence | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spanish Arch | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Cherokee Lightning | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Gunnite Gracie | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nyla Girl | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Moronette | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Track Teller | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Haynesfest | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | American Halo | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dot Notation | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 6 | Chocolate Martini | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ruthless Child | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Angelinthemorning | 3.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Spanish Angel | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | C C’s Freedom | 8.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Highsnobity | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hotfoot | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Divine Holiday | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | War Letters | 15.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 6 | Full Heart | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Brave Benny | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | One Million | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | He’s All Mine | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 1A | 6 | Trukarma | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Young Corbett | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Clockwork King | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 2 | Royal Creed | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Special Forces | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 3 | Zip Your Lip | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Morethanfishin | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 11 | 9 | Zero Gravity | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Fascilitator | 2.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Run Your Race | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 5 | Savage Nation | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Seauxtale | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | War Tom | 4.50 | 8.7 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Caymans Cobra | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Bold Bulldog | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Miss Gracer | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | C Islandsurprise | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Wicked Lick | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Economies of Scale | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Play the Break | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Yours and Mine | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Gagaoveryou | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Fancy Madelyn | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Tough Kicks | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Angie’s Prim Lady | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shaboom | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Mill Falls | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 6 | Lu Sea | 8.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Previous Honor | 4.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Miracles Yankee | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 13 | 7 | Mi Fiori | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Vadoma | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 4 | Angelic Score | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 14 | 8 | Suppose So | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 9 | 5 | Mink Coat Mimi | 30.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Avas Discreet Eyes | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Byanymeans | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Nilla | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Paloma Belle | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fuhr a Slam | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hot Melissa | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Girl Thirsty | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Freda’s Smooth Air | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Charlotte’s Wish | 10.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baby B Gone | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hannah Banana | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.