December 6, 2017 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Magnanimus Man |
0.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
Scr |
3 |
3 |
Time to Change |
4.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Sergeant Granado |
3.50 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Beyond Time |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Kidd James |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Star of Ruston |
12.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Bad Investment |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Two Mikes N Doc G |
30.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
4 |
4 |
Cha Cha Charlie |
1.60 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
Scr |
12 |
9 |
Eagle Rising |
5.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Mr Equilizer |
3.50 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
7 |
5 |
Oath of Office |
3.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
9 |
6 |
Lord Redding |
15.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Martin de Tours |
20.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
Scr |
11 |
8 |
Hermano Pilon |
12.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Campus Leader |
8.00 |
7.7 |
14-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Big Kingpin |
30.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
|
10 |
7 |
Jonny’s Emerald |
15.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Lucame |
12.00 |
10 |
19-1 |
|
6 |
4 |
Osidy Cat |
20.00 |
10.7 |
20-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Force Awakens |
2.50 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
11 |
11 |
Joy’s Rally Finale |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
Scr |
4 |
3 |
Color Me Ready |
5.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Hay Viene Navidad |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Shesanodoubtoprado |
3.50 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Hey Girl |
4.50 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
6 |
5 |
Natona Lady |
15.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
7 |
6 |
Sunni’s Jazz |
12.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Red Hot Sensation |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Junes’s Choice |
20.00 |
9.7 |
18-1 |
Scr |
1 |
1 |
Flashy Date |
20.00 |
10.7 |
20-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
9 |
9 |
Boogie Miester |
5.00 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Rare |
4.00 |
2 |
4-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Howe Amazing |
6.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Mundo Mutadda |
2.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Adieu Gerald |
15.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Real Gone Cat |
10.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Charming Afleet |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
My Friend Tag |
6.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Poppa’s Popcorn |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Like a Deputy |
15.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
8 |
8 |
Selfie Sensation |
1.20 |
1.7 |
3-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Miss Par T |
15.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Ruby’s to Blame |
1.60 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
A P’s Diana |
15.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Grand Beauty |
30.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Zarb’s Winnie |
4.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Ever More Winner |
30.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Scarlett Surprise |
20.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Vanter |
4.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Perfect Giant |
12.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Unreal Baby |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Valentine Charm |
8.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Schuyler Sister |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Show’em the Heat |
6.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Ourgoldshalaylee |
5.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Best Guess |
4.50 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Gia Mama Mia |
20.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
Katie’s Jewel |
5.00 |
2.3 |
4-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Rockin Royalty |
12.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Paint Dakota |
6.00 |
3.3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Iron Cross |
8.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Lonely Petunia |
2.50 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
Ailish’s Buttercup |
12.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Sittin On Cotton |
8.00 |
6.7 |
13-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Putsumdirtonit |
15.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Secret Rose |
4.00 |
7.3 |
14-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Ms Sassy Butclassy |
20.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
11 |
11 |
Slideruler |
8.00 |
2.7 |
5-1 |
Scr |
7 |
7 |
North Light Ridge |
5.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
9 |
9 |
Man of Bethel |
12.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Mr. Graceful |
3.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
10 |
10 |
Mimosa Morning |
15.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Charlie Ballado |
6.00 |
5.7 |
11-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Ethan’s Landing |
5.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Tough Thomas |
20.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
6 |
6 |
Jazz Talk |
8.00 |
8.3 |
16-1 |
|
5 |
5 |
Zapper Bill |
4.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Zamidue |
15.00 |
10.3 |
20-1 |
|
8 |
8 |
Orthodox River |
20.00 |
10.7 |
20-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
5 |
5 |
Maline |
1.80 |
1 |
2-1 |
|
7 |
7 |
Wildcat Springs |
8.00 |
3 |
6-1 |
|
6 |
6 |
Tom and Ed’s Girl |
4.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
3 |
3 |
Mischievous Belle |
3.00 |
4 |
8-1 |
|
4 |
4 |
Run Rhea Run |
15.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Zaplicious |
4.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
2 |
2 |
Quick Rae Rae |
10.00 |
6 |
11-1 |
|
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
Prgm |
Post |
Name |
ML |
Expected |
Value |
Scr |
6 |
5 |
Diamonds and Oil |
8.00 |
3.7 |
7-1 |
|
9 |
8 |
A Song of Faith |
5.00 |
4.3 |
8-1 |
|
5 |
4 |
Destiny’s Port |
30.00 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
|
1 |
1 |
Town Surprise |
3.50 |
4.7 |
9-1 |
Scr |
7 |
6 |
Carmen’s Picture |
10.00 |
5 |
9-1 |
|
8 |
7 |
Summers Back |
6.00 |
5.3 |
10-1 |
|
4 |
3 |
Spicy Afleet |
4.00 |
6.3 |
12-1 |
|
12 |
12 |
Vow Me Over |
3.00 |
7 |
13-1 |
Scr |
11 |
10 |
Eddie’s Deal |
10.00 |
8 |
15-1 |
Scr |
3 |
2 |
Gabby’s Got Grace |
8.00 |
8.7 |
16-1 |
|
2 |
1 |
Favorite Promise |
5.00 |
9.3 |
18-1 |
|
10 |
9 |
Classy and Rich |
15.00 |
11 |
21-1 |
|
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.