December 6, 2017 Aqueduct Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Avery Maeve | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Sandy Belle | 2.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Isotope | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Short Kakes | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Doinwhatshelikes | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Banty’s Girl | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 5 | Summer Mischief | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 16 | 9 | Playwright | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 13 | 6 | Slewacandy | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 15 | 8 | Grand Valour | 3.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 2 | Dooley | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Port Arch | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 1 | Run for Boston | 3.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Big Auk | 30.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 8 | Frost Proof | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 3 | Alexander David | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 14 | 7 | Victory’s Cash | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Prince Reigner | 8.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Space Key | 5.00 | 12.3 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | The Donald Problem | 50.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Millies Party Boy | 6.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Minus Two | 15.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Liam’s World | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Marnesia Big Girl | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Why Not Be Sexy | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Madame Barbarian | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Slam Chowder | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hold Me Down | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Josephine’s Moment | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 6 | Free Kitty | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Madeline’s Hope | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paula’s Pistol | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Unspoken Mission | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Special Risk | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sunday Gravy | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Countessofpotenza | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Anna Liffey | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mama’s Red Hat | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Looking Ready | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 2 | 2 | Barbarossa | 1.80 | 2.7 | 5-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Lone Sentry | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 3 | Audible | 1.60 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Have At It | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 2 | Call Me | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Wake Me Up At Noon | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 1 | Crea’s Bklyn Law | 2.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 4 | Hills Pond | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Viradia | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cathy Naz | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cryinthemoonlight | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Victoria Rose | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Split Time | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Anne’s Song | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Embrace the Chaos | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Frederica | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Rock Doc | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ethan Hunt | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cerretalto | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ransom Note | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sicilia Mike | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Danebury | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Italian Syndicate | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Grassady | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Call Me a Star | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 9 | Merger of Banks | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Big Thicket | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 1 | Lutheran Rags | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Panama Ed | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Paganini | 30.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Zenato | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Ghost Block | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 7 | Three Goals | 4.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | D’rock | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Frenchana | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 15 | 11 | Freudian Analyst | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Beach Access | 15.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 6 | Mr. Skittles | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Bustin to Be Bad | 20.00 | 14 | 26-1 | |
| 10 | 8 | Buss the Bell | 50.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.