Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Monday, December 4, 2017

December 4, 2017 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.


Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 4 Tiz Majesty 2.50 1.3 3-1
3 2 Benchmark Babe 1.40 2.3 4-1
1 1 Cheetah’s Tail 15.00 3.7 7-1 Scr
4 3 Janealee 6.00 4 8-1
7 6 Undaunted Spirit 12.00 5 9-1
6 5 Airlie’s Diamond 4.00 5.7 11-1
2 1 Capture the Sun 15.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 3 Fifties Music 5.00 2 4-1
7 7 Summer Run 3.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Crazy Wild Bill 10.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Year Book 6.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Argento 4.50 4.3 8-1
8 8 Break the Mold 2.50 5.7 11-1
1 1 Chief Tarhe 8.00 6 11-1
4 4 Lay It On 20.00 7.3 14-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 1 Hermans Gold 10.00 3.7 7-1
1A 5 Patriotic Quest 8.00 4 8-1
2 7 Hasta Ahora 2.50 4.3 8-1 Scr
7 6 Eyesfirst 3.00 4.3 8-1
1 4 Tapitontheside 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 2 Kukulkan 20.00 6 11-1
2X 8 Sir Brahms 2.50 6 11-1
8 7 Birdies Honor 6.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Bustin to Be Bad 4.50 8 15-1 Scr
5 3 What a Hoot 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
5 5 Dukin’ With Dale 3.50 2.7 5-1
7 7 Political Farce 15.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Cruise More 12.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Behzad’s Pride 3.50 4.3 8-1
3 3 Final Forum 3.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Sky Chaparral 2.00 5 9-1
4 4 No Knock Raid 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 6 Wrightwood 3.00 2 4-1
1 1 I Stand Alone 10.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Noble Kent 5.00 4 8-1
8 8 Rumblin Kyle 15.00 4.7 9-1
7 7 Abdaar 2.50 5 9-1
3 3 Vision of Green 4.50 5 9-1
4 4 Banner Bill 6.00 5 9-1
2 2 Frasero (ARG) 12.00 7.7 14-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
3 2 Feel Proud 8.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Broad Reach 2.50 2.7 5-1
4 3 Gin Fuzz 10.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Legend’s Hope 4.00 3.7 7-1 Scr
6 5 Jump Jive an Wail 1.60 4.3 8-1
5 4 All Alone 6.00 4.7 9-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Waiver Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
6 5 Miss Saffron 2.50 1 2-1
3 2 Cherryandthehawk 6.00 3 6-1
8 7 To Be Honest 10.00 3.3 6-1
5 4 Enchanted Ghost 4.50 4 8-1
4 3 Velocita Brillante 8.00 4.3 8-1
10 10 Baltimore Babe 8.00 6 11-1 Scr
11 8 Simonela 12.00 7 13-1
9 9 Magically Discreet 20.00 9 17-1 Scr
2 1 Island Queen 10.00 9 17-1
1 1 Bella Brandi M 20.00 9.3 18-1 Scr
7 6 Streets On Fire 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
7 8 Final Prospect 3.50 2 4-1
2 2 Fellowship 10.00 3.3 6-1
6 7 Monongahela 5.00 4 8-1
1 1 Mythos 6.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Ghost Bay 3.50 5 9-1
5 6 Flash McCaul 6.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Wake Up in Malibu 3.00 5.7 11-1
1A 5 Bodhisattva 6.00 6.3 12-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value Scr
8 8 Grand Lassie 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Annapolis Class 2.00 2.7 5-1
2 2 Wildcat Rising 6.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Raging Regina 12.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Rosetta Red 5.00 5 9-1
9 9 Out of Juice 30.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Quickasaflash 30.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Glory Unbound 20.00 7.3 14-1
4 4 Merry Maid 30.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.