December 3, 2017 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Big and Loud | 2.50 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Old School Ike | 1.60 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Convexity | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Desert Black | 10.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tizona | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | The Sleepy Prince | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Agressivebrawler | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Fracas | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sugaratsundown | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mama’s Kid | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Moonlight Mystique | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiger Mom | 3.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | She Can Too | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cuvee Cat | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fast Pass | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Swiss Minister | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Omdurman | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Templar | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gone With It | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Brave Julian | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Little Bit Lovely | 5.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rosie My Rosie | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gift of a Star | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kennedie Sky | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tiki Bar Logic | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Gogoula | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Princess Kendra | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Sea My Moves | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rossmoor Way | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Baytown Juliet | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Miss Kitaen | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Instinctual Kash | 2.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Justabean | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Empress Songbird | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jinn Win | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mariana’s Girl | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Del Mar Darling | 4.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | You Are Invited | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Sakab | 0.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 5 | Supreme Venture | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Kenny Benny | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Two Thirty Five | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Rocky’s Show | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rick’s Dream | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Quantum Force | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Short of Ez | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Long Game | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Mostly Cloudy | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Yo La Tengo | 20.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Lucky J Lane | 0.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 11 | 11 | Image of Joplin | 0.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | Scr |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Pleasure | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Record Highs | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sonneteer | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | General Kitten | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Senator Robert | 5.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Uninvited | 6.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dangerfield | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Camino de Estrella | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lymebyrd | 3.50 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Plain Wrap | 30.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | Scr |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Bayakoa H.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Constellation | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pacific Wind | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Madame Stripes (ARG) | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Street Surrender | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Champagne Room | 3.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Shenandoah Queen | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Majestic Heat | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bernina Star | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cool Munnings | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Silver Epona | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Valedictoriette | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shady Love | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dorita’s Candy | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 3 | Paradise | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lookingforthewire | 8.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Miss Derby | 10.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Magicalchic | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sonnet’s Joy | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | Yalla | 2.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Our Bright Star | 20.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.