December 3, 2017 Fair Grounds Horse Racing Picks.
Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Elegant Idea | 3.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lady Digger | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Half Fast Rose | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sorcerer’s Appeal | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ide Be Silly | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Timebobanna | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Candi’s Kitten | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Bourbon Candy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Show Bound | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Bushrod | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Roskilde | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Day Six | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | Scr |
| 5 | 4 | Fred’s Lucky Boy | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Concho | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 5 | Big Ragu | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 4 | Onefor Thegripper | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sandlot Sam | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | Scr |
| 8 | 6 | Gentle Commitment | 2.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Classic Brahms | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 3 | Apollo’s Prince | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Winter Man | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | Scr |
| 3 | 2 | Spasini | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Time to Flirt | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Creative Thinking | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Plain Jane | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Deauville Mist | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Moonlit Garden | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 9 | Princess Julia | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 | Scr |
| 7 | 7 | To Be Famous | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Move | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Carolina Honey | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | B B Special | 3.50 | 2 | 4-1 | Scr |
| 1 | 4 | John’s Luck | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Brute Strength | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Snapper Bite | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Whoz Talkin Now | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Quality Production | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Senor Guitar | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Great Kat | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | My Man Jax | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Campioni | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Findley Isle | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | River Evangelist | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Desierto | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Teletap | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Telling You Twice | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Alys Appointment | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Casses Story | 3.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Battle Colors | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Grandpa’s Dream | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mighty Manfred | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Social Misfit | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Grit | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 11 | Brexit | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Woulda Coulda Did | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Landonese | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 12 | 10 | Kowboy Posse | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Warleggan | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bully Dos | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Nothings Changed | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Nobutzaboutit | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | The Babyson | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | Keppel Bay | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Want | 10.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | Scr |
| 9 | 8 | Hold On Angel | 30.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Dalaman | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Musial | 20.00 | 13.7 | 26-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | Scr |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 3 | Autumn Flirt | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 10 | Uncle Nearis | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Tensas’s Boy | 12.00 | 4 | 8-1 | Scr |
| 10 | 9 | O’L Red | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Perin the Pirate | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Hitter | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | From Now On | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Aint There No More | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 | Scr |
| 6 | 5 | Magic Maniac | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Guitar King | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Beauty Boy | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Zebedee Zered | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.